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By Janice Stillman

Hi, Marian! I put your question and comments to our meteorologist. Here is his response:  We appreciate your feedback and want to assure you that we continually strive to improve the accuracy of our long-range forecasting methodology.  As you note, we were correct that April would be warmer than normal, although it was warmer than even we thought it would be.  And, while we did forecast above-normal rainfall in the region in April and Gordan and other locations in the southeast part of the state had below-normal rainfall, most of the region did have above-normal rainfall.  So, we apologize that we did not correctly forecast your rainfall, but it is difficult to pinpoint the exact distribution of rainfall this far in advance.  As for your question about why the south east corner of Alabama is having this persistent drought while everyone around you is getting some kind of precipitation, we are not aware of any studies that have found a cause for this particular situation – rainfall distribution can be somewhat random and, unfortunately, most of the rain has missed southeast Alabama.
I hope you find this helpful. Thanks for your interest in this Almanac and our predictions.


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