Long-Range Forecast 2017


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Including Winter Forecast 2016-2017

Long-Range Forecast 2017 U.S. Map

The long-range weather forecast for 2017 including winter 2016-2017 forecast has been issued by The Old Farmer’s Almanac

There have been many almanacs over the years, but only one Old Farmer’s Almanac—North America’s biggest, best-selling, and oldest almanac since George Washington’s time as president of the U.S.!

For 225 years, we have been forecasting weather with amazing accuracy at times. Our historical average rate for “forecasting the direction of temperature and precipitation from normal” is 80%. In every annual edition, we publish our accuracy from the year before, good or bad.  See how we predict the weather.

General Long-Range Weather 2017

Get ready for a shift from last year!  For the winter of 2016–2017, we expect temperatures to be much colder than last winter but still above normal. Winter 2017 will also feature below-normal snowfall overall; the snowy exception is the northern tier of the U.S., which can expect to be blanketed in white.

  • Winter will be colder in much of the eastern two-thirds of the nation. Exceptions will be in a swatch from North Dakota to Maine, which will have below-normal temperatures. Most of the Pacific states will have below-normal temperatures, with above-normal temperatures in the Intermountain region and Desert Southwest.
  • Snowfall will be above normal from southern New England and western New York southward through the Appalachians, but not in northern New England. Snowfall with also be above what’s typical from eastern Minnesota to the UP (Upper Peninsula) of Michigan and southward to St. Louis, Missouri; and from central North Dakota westward to the Pacific. We expect below-normal snowfall in most other places that normally receive snow.
  • Precipitation will be below normal across most of the southern two-thirds of the nation. However, precipitation will be above normal in the North, with the primary exceptions being above-normal rainfall in northern California, southern Oregon, portions of the western Lower Lakes region, and Florida. With rainfall below normal in most of California, the drought there will continue.
  • In Canada, brace for more snow and colder-than-average temperatures throughout most parts of the country. The exceptions to the winter of white will be Manitoba, portions of Saskatchewan, and northern sections across the land. While snowfall will generally be below normal in these areas, temperatures will remain chilly


Keep in mind that The Old Farmer’s Almanac predictions are made well in advance. The forecasts are meant to give readers a general sense of what kind of winter is expected, compared to past winters.

What’s Your Region’s Forecast?

Get your copy of The 2017 Old Farmer’s Almanac for a full year of weather forecasts for your region!  Plus, this year is the Special 225th Anniversary edition of North America’s oldest continuously published periodical! The 2017 Almanac celebrates its unprecedented legacy, with tributes from heads of state and famous names, founder Robert B. Thomas’s story, with reproduced pages from the first edition, Almanac moments in history: the snow-in-summer forecast, the Lincoln defense, the weather omission, the German spy plot, the JFK assassination hint, and more! Plus, the edition contains all of the wit, wisdom, stories, sky watch and calendar events for the entire year!

Order the Almanac Today!Order The 2017 Old Farmer’s Almanac (print or digital) today!




Long-Range Forecasts Only

The Old Farmer’s Almanac is so much more than the weather forecast, however, if you ONLY want the weather, just click here for INSTANT ACCESS to the 2017 long-range forecast by region.


The 2017 Old Farmer's Almanac

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What will our winter be like in Central Texas?

weather forecast winter 2016-2017

Hi Shirley, Your winter in Texas should be warmer than average, with below-normal precipitation and near-normal snowfall.  For more details, please pick up a copy of the new 2017 Almanac! You can find the paperback, hardcover, and digital edition in our online store here: https://store.almanac.com/store/almanacs or it will arrive in retail stores by Labor Day!

What should Rapid City South

What should Rapid City South Dakota expect for this winter?


Will we be getting a hot summer? Global Warming is a fact rather than anot uneducated guess. We need to take better care of Mother Earth. Mars is not the answer!!!

hot summer?

Hi Jack, from the Yukon! We presume you are asking about the summer in Alaska. Our forecast for the state, weather region 17, is for cooler and a bit wetter than normal conditions this summer, with the hottest period in mid-June. In the meantime, enjoy these long days. You folks must surely appreciate the midnight Sun more than most!


Almanac weather predictions

the Farmers Almanac got it 100% wrong in their forecasts. Completely ignoring the influences of one of the strongest El Niño patterns in history they only proved what most people in meteorology already know.... There is nothing scientific about the Almanac's methodology and when the do get it right it's only because they got lucky.

Weather forecast for 2016

Weather for June 10th to 12th 2016


Why are predicted snow totals for a given storm always all over the place? I'm speaking of TV weather predictions that vary wildly. "Boston can expect 12 " of snow versus "Boston can expect 2" - 4 " of snow". High tech gadgets like never before, and all they give us are possibilities. Grandpa's aching knee was an as good or a better indicator of the weather!

Snow totals

Hi, Anne, We can not speak for TV weather forecasts but we have noticed, as you have, that often snow totals vary widely—before and after the snow event. There are probably as many reasons are there are forecasters, but consider this: A change in the wind direction or strength can make a difference, as can a change in the amount of moisture in the air. Technology can detect snow “bands,” areas of snow that show up on certain radar/satellite views that indicate especially heavy snowfall; as a result, a forecaster may adjust his prediction of how much snow to expect in a very specific area (you can see this on TV forecasts). There are many more factors that play into snow totals, too. TV is not our bailiwick, so we have only a pedestrian knowledge of this: we walk into the TV room and watch, just like you and millions of others.

When all is said and done, we hope you get the weather you want!

Winter Weather

I'm going to guess that the Farmer doesn't take El Nino into consideration.

El Niño indeed!

Hi, Sara, Yes, we do take El Niño into consideration when making our forecasts. However, in considering it last March, when the forecasts were completed, we didn’t think it would develop as it has and so dominate the winter. (This goes to show that while “you can’t fool Mother Nature,” she can fool you!) That said, it’s too soon to calculate our accuracy for this winter; it’s not over!

We hope you get the weather you want!


Love Farmers almanac....

weather report

weather report

Weather Region

Is there a site I can go to to type in my zip code and see what Region number I am in.
In your almanac it looks like I am right on the border of 3 Regions

Long-Range Weather by Zip Code

Yes. If you go to our long-range weather page and enter your zip code, it will take you to the appropriate region. Here’s the long-range weather page: http://www.almanac.com/weather/longrange

Weather predictions

Boy you were off this year!

weather info

weather info

Persimmon seed

Is the persimmon seed tell a fact or is it a old wise tale.

permission seed

The predictive powers of the permission seed are considered folklore. Most folklore contains a hint of truth but folklore is often regionally-based so truth may be a nebulous thing! Here’s our page on predicting weather with permission seeds.


What is the weather for October 29th in mayfield ky

winter weather

Hi. Am wondering what your forecast for Central Illinois? I live in Peoria, IL. Thanks.

Winter weather

How much snow is estimated to fall this winter in Pennsylvania near the MD/PA line?

the weather

why is the weather so crazy snow in the west and warm raining in the north east

Northeast Ohio

What will be the weather be like in northeast Ohio for 2015 and 2016?

Eastern Oregon weather for 2015 winter

What is the weather prediction for 2015-2016 winter in northeast oregon

I am interest in buying 1

It tell me when i can plant my flowers and where there are good places & spots to go fishing and want know how the Weather is these comming months and it tells me alot.

Thank You Preston Fisher


When will we see our first snow fall of the year?

Charlotte Metro Area

Charlotte Metro area in NC has had the drought covered in just the first two weeks of October. Can you please tell me what we should expect as far a snow goes for our winter season?
Thank you!


Wondering what average snowfall should be and when for indiana near fort wayne

2015-2016 Winter Weather Hint

While waiting for my almanac, any chance of getting a hint of what the 2015-2016 winter will be for MD, DE and VA will be?

southern oregon

will we get in on the rain expected to hit california this winter

What is the weather

What is the weather prediction for Halifax, Nova Scotia ?

I'm very pessimistic about this upcoming winter

I live in Owensboro, Kentucky, and I'm concerned that winter 2015-16 will be just as harsh as the last two, so that would make a trifecta of intolerable tundra winters in 2013-14, 2014-15, and 2015-16. Because February-March 2015 was unprecedented for its impossibly frigid temperatures and monstrously massive snowfall, does that mean February-March 2016 will be even worse? My entire state was a state of emergency twice after buried by heavy snowfall twice in 2015 (2/16 and 3/5). If that happened to my entire state twice in 2015, will that happen to my entire state thrice in 2016 (2/15, 3/3, and 3/15)? Because February-March 2015 was so bad, I can seriously tell that February-March 2016 will be even worse. I'm afraid February 2016 will be colder than February 2015 and March 2016 will be the #1 coldest March of all time. In fact, I even think March 2014 would feel like a gentle spring month compared to March 2016. In only four years have we all went from the #1 warmest March in 2012 to the #1 coldest March in 2016. So, am I accurate on my ultra-pessimistic predictions?

Whistler, will it snow in 2016?

Hi, I was wondering if you could tell me your forecast for snow in Whistler/BC around early Feb 2016?

light green woolly worms

What does that mean as far as the upcoming winter. We always seen them brown to black, but they are light green this year. Does that mean a mild winter?

I want to cancel future Old Farmer's Almanac Collector's Edition

Cancel me.

Please call 1-800-ALMANAC to cancel.

Sorry were are unable to identify you from just this post.

Mid Atlantic forecast

I live in Maryland, what does the almanac say about the winter forecast for the Mid-Atlantic states such as Maryland?

Our local weather man is

Our local weather man is saying we will have a warmer and wetter than usual winter. Can you let me know what y'all think?

western kentucky

can you share what you think the western kentucky forecast might be for winter....last year we got 24.5 inches of snow in February/March alone..

thank you.

Feb2015 was bad, Feb2016 will be worse

I hope this means 49 inches of snow in February-March 2016 alone. A Frozen February like 2015 would mean an even worse Frozen February in 2016. Remember how the entire state of Kentucky was buried by well over a foot of snow from multiple winter storm situations and declaring more than one state of emergency in under a month? It just happened twice in 2015 (Feb 16 and Mar 5) and it's about to happen thrice in 2016 (Feb 15, Mar 3, and Mar 15). So yeah, Feb-Mar 2015 may have been a hell of a frozen nightmare, but please keep in mind that Feb-Mar 2016 will be even worse.

Missouri winter weather

What are you predicting for Missouri this year

You will have near-normal

You will have near-normal temps and below-normal precip. and snowfall. Coldest temps. will be in late Dec. early and late Jan. and mid and late Feb.


Idaho snows

There's some discrepancy btwn your map (wet & mild) and forecast above (colder & snowier than normal) for the NW. I ski in the mtns above McCall & Boise, ID, have relatives who want to join. What're our best bets?

Idaho is entirely in Region

Idaho is entirely in Region 13, Intermountain, and entirely within the map’s “mild, dry” prediction area. We are forecasting above normal temps with near normal precip in that part of Region 13 (below normal precip in the southern portion of the region). Snowfall will be below normal everywhere in the region except near Reno, Nevada. That doesn not mean that there will be no snow, merely less than normal; in fact, a few snowstorms are forecast for the northern portion of the region. See the regional forecase for details.

How much snow is expected in

How much snow is expected in Dresden,Ohio this winter ? I've already turned on my heat. Lol.

Savannah GA area

Hi, my husband has been relocated to Savannah GA and we are building a home. Unfortunately, things haven't been moving very fast and therefore will end up building during the winter months. I'm hearing from the locals that it's going to be a wet winter, which is not good for building. Can you please tell me what we are in store for from mid to late October to about March/April? Thank you!

Building in Winter Months

You should be okay for the coldest months. It shouldn't take over 2 months to frame your home. If it does, you may want to look closer at who is building and why they're so slow. By the time it gets colder you should have shingles, windows, doors in, therefore, the cold should and could only effect the outside structure such as wood, siding, brick, stucco, landscaping, etc. Everything else can be completed on the inside which you can use a heater and lights if needed. I would push now for this to be complete. For the inside always takes longer than the outside.

What should I expect this

What should I expect this winter for Franklington, NC, Washington, DC and Prince George's County, MD (2015-2016)

I've read the comments. I

I've read the comments. I didn't want to duplicate any questions. What about the winter in East Texas for 2015-2016? We checked the persimmon seed, but it showed the same as last year.

I live in , Southern

I live in , Southern Fairfield County in Connecticut (Norwalk). About an hour North of of NYC. Are we going to have a lot of cold and snow?

What about Indianapolis,

What about Indianapolis, Indiana? Tons of snow or just bitter temps?

what does winter weather look

what does winter weather look like for englewood n.j. 07631
nov. till march?

what does the weather look

what does the weather look like in Tampa Florida Febuary 2016.

What does the weather look

What does the weather look like in North-West Montana (Whitefish) during the first week of February 2016.

Also what are the forecast conditions for Central Colorado (Aspen) during the second week of March 2016.

what will winter be like in

what will winter be like in hartwell ga this coming winter season.

The weather in Hartwell, GA,

The weather in Hartwell, GA, is up in the air: Your area is very close to the line between cold and snowy and cold and wet. So it may come down to how hard Mother Nature blows the wind—whether the precipitation comes down as water (wet) or flakes (snow). One thing for sure is that it will be chilly, especially in December, January, and March. For more details, click on the community nearest you in Region 4 on this page: http://www.almanac.com/weather...

Hey how does the winter look

Hey how does the winter look for cincinnati ohio this year? I hope not a lot of snow I hope it's less snow then last year. I can deal with cold but not snow. Thank you very much!

Hey how does the winter look

Hey how does the winter look for cincinnati ohio this year? I hope not a lot of snow I hope it's less snow then last year. I can deal with cold but not snow. Thank you very much!

Hey how does the winter look

Hey how does the winter look for cincinnati ohio this year? I hope not a lot of snow I hope it's less snow then last year. I can deal with cold but not snow. Thank you very much!

Sorry: Cincinnati hits the

Sorry: Cincinnati hits the winter jackpot again! You're in the Ohio Valley, famous for clashes between cold weather systems from the north and moisture from the east. We are predicting colder than normal conditions with above-normal snowfall. For details, click on the town closest to you in Region 7 here: http://www.almanac.com/weather...

What does it look like for

What does it look like for the Carolinas, especially around the North Carolina mountain region and along the Virginia border? I just moved here and I'm curious as to what the winter weather will be like.

What does it look like for

What does it look like for the Carolinas, especially around the North Carolina mountain region and along the Virginia border? I just moved here and I'm curious as to what the winter weather will be like.

The Carolinas, north and

The Carolinas, north and south, will be cooler and rainer than normal. Look out for icey conditions at the beginning and end of January. Mountain areas tend to be colder and snowier; that's the case here. For details, click on Region 3 here (esp if you are closer to Asheville) and/or on Region 4: http://www.almanac.com/weather...

Hi , what's the winter

Hi , what's the winter weather predictions for Alaska and Central Oregon .thanks mike

Alaska's forecast is all over

Alaska's forecast is all over the place: It is highly regionalized, so difficult to detail here. In brief, it will be colder than normal in the north, and warmer than normal in the south. Snowfall will be similar. For details, see here at Region 17: http://www.almanac.com/weather...
Central Oregon is a split decision: lean left (west), and the prediction is for cold and snowy weather; lean right (east and it's expected to be mild and dry, relative to normal. You can ge more details by clicking on Region 13 and Region 15 at the same link given above.

I've seen several posts on

I've seen several posts on the internet already about extremely cold and wet winter for us here in Central Oklahoma. Can you shed any light on this subject? Thank You.

Don't know who/what else

Don't know who/what else you're reading on the Internet, but that's not our forecast. The Old Farmer's Almanac is predicting mild and dry conditions in central Oklahoma for this coming winter. There will be some cold days and certainly some flurries but not the extreme conditions that you cite.

Hi! I live in Washington

Hi! I live in Washington state and im curious if we will have any snow this winter . We've had record high temperature this summer and im wondering if that will change. Thank you!


We are predicting a cooler

We are predicting a cooler than normal winter for the Northwest, with above-normal rain- and snowfall.  However, if El Niño develops into something greater than weak or neutral, this forecast would probably not come to pass.

El Nino is already strong, so

El Nino is already strong, so at least the first part of the winter is sealed as warm/dry. It should weaken as winter progresses, so a very snowy/wet Jan-April could spell for most, if not all, of the winters snow. Also, keep in mind that an eleven inch snowstorm and an isolated period of extremely wet weather could make even the most barren and mild winters a 'wet and snowy' one. However, one thing is certain: THIS WINTER SHOULD BE WAY LESS MILD AND DRY THAN THE WINTER OF 2014-15, HOWEVER I STILL EXPECT A DOMINANTLY COLD AND SNOWY WINTER TO BE UNLIKELY.

I have been hearing a lot of

I have been hearing a lot of meteorologists talking about El Niño, which looks like will be fairly strong this year. They are saying that El Niño will cause the jet stream to lift warmer temperatures into the mid-Atlantic and Northeast states. How will this, if true, in fact your weather predictions?

El Niño would bring more rain

El Niño would bring more rain than we forecast to California, the north-central US would be milder than forecast, more of the southern quardrant would see cool and wet. Winter in the Northeast might be milder, but snowfall amounts could still be above normal.

I'm sorry to be another one

I'm sorry to be another one bombarding you, but I haven't had a chance to purchase thus year's issue yet, and I was wondering what is Ogden, UT looking like this winter? I just moved here and am curious. Thank you so much!

Hey, Late Kate, It's never

Hey, Late Kate, It's never too late! The short story is a pretty normal winter temperature-wise and about the same for precip and snow. There are snowstorms forecast for your region—two in December, one in January, and two in February—but we are predicting above normal amounts near Reno only. Hope this helps! You can find the Almanac here (Almanac.com/Store)—as a special offer(!) and wherever books and magazines are sold.
Thanks for your enthusiasm for this Almanac.

western ma and central ny?

western ma and central ny?

Cold and snowy!

Cold and snowy!

I'm concerned about the

I'm concerned about the drought in California, particularly the low snow amounts in the Sierra Nevada Mountains. Will 2016 be a better year for the snow-pack and help lessen the drought?


Hi, Janice, We wish we had

Hi, Janice, We wish we had better news: We are predicting below-normal mountain snows for this coming winter. Everyone here and around the country realizes the severity of the drought. We hope that we are wrong in our prediction for all the right reasons, but only time will tell.

How about Kansas City area?

How about Kansas City area? How much snow and cold?

Hi, Max, Your winter forecast

Hi, Max, Your winter forecast (region 10) calls for near-normal temps, with below-normal snowfall and precip. The dearth of precip in winter, followed by our prediction for a drier than normal April and May, going into a hotter and drier than normal summer may give rise to drought concerns.

Hi, I have a job that I

Hi, I have a job that I absolutely have to be there all the time. I have heard Amarillo, TX is going to have a very brutal winter and very heavy snow falls and blizzards. I am learning how to read the Almanic but still can't quite get it. Could you please help me know so I can prepare so I can make sure I get to work! Blessings.

Hi, Angela, Amarillo, Texas,

Hi, Angela, Amarillo, Texas, is in region 12, which runs from the Canadian border at Montana and North Dakota to just south of where you are in Amarillo. According to the summary of the forecast (at the top of page 203 of The 2016 Old Farmer's Almanac), you will see that in the southern portion of that region—your area—there will be above-normal temps and below-normal snowfall. There is, on the color weather map on page 96, a "swath" of white, indicating "mild and snowy" conditions east of Amarillo. If the wind blows in such a way as to blow snow into or towards Amarillo, you may have some snow. That said, we do not expect the kind of snow or snowstorms that you describe in your question to occur in the Amarillo area.
We hope this helps!

This is odd to me. Every

This is odd to me. Every meteorologist in Amarillo is predicting a hard snowy winter for us. This includes the NWS. So who do we believe? I suspect we will just have to wait and see.

Hi, could you tell me

Hi, could you tell me anything about winter expectations for the Gulf Coast area of Texas?

Hi, Donna, Our predictions

Hi, Donna, Our predictions for most of Texas and the portion of Oklahoma that comprises region 11 is a warmer and drier than normal winter.

What about the southeast?

What about the southeast? Seems you gave us an idea of every area except the southeast (Alabama, Georgia, Tennessee, Mississippi, Louisiana, Florida).

Hi, Sandra, The text on this

Hi, Sandra,
The text on this page is not the forecast in detail nor in its entirety. The states you cite are actually all or parts of several regions for which we make specific forecasts. In brief, because the details are in the Almanac, this coming winter, Lousiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle will have normal temps and below-normal precipitation. Georgia will see cooler than normal temps and above-normal precip. Florida, except for the Panhandle, will be mild and relatively dry.

Don't mind the cold, but the

Don't mind the cold, but the snow we had in Rhode Island last year was to much to handle. Please tell me RI is not going to get that much snow this year :)

We second that emotion, Deb!

We second that emotion, Deb! We are forecasting above-normal snow for southern New England but not record-setting amounts like we had last winter. Keep the shovel handy!

What is the prediction for

What is the prediction for Northeastern Oklahoma winter

Hi, Rexanna, Your corner of

Hi, Rexanna, Your corner of the world is forecast to have much warmer than normal temps, with below normal precip this winter. Here's hoping that the weather you get is the weather you want!

I know that the Southwest

I know that the Southwest (Tucson, AZ) doesn't have much snow and freezing temperature for extended periods but it is important to us if we are going to have a "wet" winter and a lot of temperatures below freezing. Can we get a "preview" please?

If it's important to you,

If it's important to you, it's important to us! We are forecasting slightly below normal to normal temps in your area, with slightly below normal snow and precip expectations. You could see some flurries and should get some rain showers, but not to excess.

Local weather folks are

Local weather folks are saying we in the Pacific Northwest are in the midst of an el nino event and that consequently our winter will be warmer and wetter than normal. This is not consistent with what you say above about our area. Please explain

Hi, Pat, There is not much to

Hi, Pat, There is not much to explain; we simply disagree. Like we did last year this time (and look at what did not happen). All of our forecasts, including our position on El Niño or not, are based on our methodology, which is based on solar science, climatology, and meteorology—as stated in every edition.

Thanks for sharing. Sounds

Thanks for sharing. Sounds like a real winter is in store for us.

Thank YOU! for taking the

Thank YOU! for taking the time to write. Here's hoping that the weather you get is the weather you want, Roberta!

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