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Mid Atlantic Winter

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5 replies [Last post]
Joined: 2009-08-08

I am really wondering who can give me an accurate forecast for this winter. I am wondering so i acan prepare for what might happen. The most recent one was at July 15 and probably not very accurate. So if you have a forecast please post it her please.

Joined: 2009-09-06
Mid Atlantic Winter

While I can't say my forecast will be completely accurate, being a forecaster, I could try.


Unlike the Past few years, We Now Have a Weak to Borderline moderate El Nino in the Equatorial Pacific. And we have a cold PDO(Pacific Decadal Oscillation) which has shown signs of working its way into the climate. My personal opinion is that this El Nino will Weaken into the winter, and barely stay alive, probably at middle weak stage. This Nino is West Based, with an East Based QBO. By analoging the Years Similar to this one, and Taking a look at the Long Range MOdel Outlooks, I have come up with THIS. The Middle Atlantic Region Will Overall Experience Average Temperatures this winter, Maybe a bit on the Colder Side. AS FOR SNOWFALL, I am anticipating Above Normal Snowfall, most of it coming in the Month of FEBUARY. BELOW IS MY MONTH BY MONTH BREAKDOWN OF THE UPCOMING YEAR.

DECEMBER should Be the WARMEST month, with temps running about 1.0 degrees above average overall. Snowfall should be BELOW NORMAL for this month, With the Exeption of The App. Mountains. The End of the Month Looks Cold.

JANUARY Looks A little bit Colder, With Temps running 0.5 degrees Below Average. Snowfall Once again looks a bit scrawny, HOWEVER, Near the End of the Month, Temps Get Very Cold, and Snow becomes more likely.

FEBUARY looks like the HARSHEST month to me. I See Very Cold Air, and HEAVY SNOWS. Sometime in the Month, I see a STRONG STORM Moving in from the Tennessee Valley, and Developing a new Low Pressure Center Near The Coast, and Riding up as a NOREASTER. Heavy Snows From the Coastal Plain & potentially the Peidmont Up the Coast! Very windy & cold, and Blizzard Conditions will be possible, especially if your near an Open Body of Water. Additional Snows are possible IN the Beginning of the MOnth, and Near the End.

March Looks Nippy & Very Wet. Snow is posible at higher elevations, maybe heavy, but not likely along the costal Plain.

I hope you Like the Forecast, I'll answer any questions you may have :):):)

Joined: 2009-08-06

Hi can you tell me about the North Carolina winter?
I live in the Piedmont,the High Point area.

Joined: 2009-08-08
Thank you very much.

Thank you very much.

vivian Amponsha
Thank you very much for your

Thank you very much for your forecast.

Joined: 2009-09-04
Thanks for the forecast WJP.

Thanks for the forecast WJP. I live in SE PA and our past few winters have really been a bust when it comes to snowfall. I sure hope your snow predictions come true !!

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