Great observation. The winds that circled the Arctic (measured by the Arctic Oscillation) were so strong in 2012 that all the cold polar air was trapped north. That gave the US a warm winter, spring and summer in 2012, but the Arctic was abnormally cold and stormy by fall. The ice growth was very rapid. Now the cold air has built up and, like you, I think it will plunge south and make this winter very cold.
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