2016-2017 long range weather Forecast for U.S. and Canada

Including Winter Forecast 2016-2017

December 11, 2016
Long-Range Forecast 2017 U.S. Map

The 2016-2017 long range weather weather forecast summary for the U.S. and Canada, courtesy of The 2017 Old Farmer’s Almanac.

There have been many almanacs over the years, but there’s only one Old Farmer’s Almanac—North America’s biggest, best-selling, and oldest almanac since George Washington’s time as president of the U.S.!

For 225 years, we have been forecasting weather with amazing accuracy at times. Our historical average rate for “forecasting the direction of temperature and precipitation from normal” is 80%. In every annual edition, we publish our accuracy from the year before, good or bad.  See how we predict the weather.

General long range weather 2017

Get ready for a shift from last year!  For the winter of 2016–2017, we expect temperatures to be much colder than last winter but still above normal. Winter 2017 will also feature below-normal snowfall overall; the snowy exception is the northern tier of the U.S., which can expect to be blanketed in white.

  • Winter will be colder in much of the eastern two-thirds of the nation. Exceptions will be in a swatch from North Dakota to Maine, which will have below-normal temperatures. Most of the Pacific states will have below-normal temperatures, with above-normal temperatures in the Intermountain region and Desert Southwest.
  • Snowfall will be above normal from southern New England and western New York southward through the Appalachians, but not in northern New England. Snowfall will also be above what’s typical from eastern Minnesota to the UP (Upper Peninsula) of Michigan and southward to St. Louis, Missouri; and from central North Dakota westward to the Pacific. We expect below-normal snowfall in most other places that normally receive snow.
  • Precipitation will be below normal across most of the southern two-thirds of the nation. However, precipitation will be above normal in the North, with the primary exceptions being above-normal rainfall in northern California, southern Oregon, portions of the western Lower Lakes region, and Florida. With rainfall below normal in most of California, the drought there will continue.
  • In Canada, brace for more snow and colder-than-average temperatures throughout most parts of the country. The exceptions to the winter of white will be Manitoba, portions of Saskatchewan, and northern sections across the land. While snowfall will generally be below normal in these areas, temperatures will remain chilly


Keep in mind that The Old Farmer’s Almanac predictions are made well in advance. The forecasts are meant to give readers a general sense of what kind of winter is expected, compared to past winters.

What’s Your Region’s Forecast?

Order your copy of The 2017 Old Farmer’s Almanac to view a full year of weather forecasts for your region!  

Order the Almanac Today!Order The 2017 Old Farmer’s Almanac (print or digital) today!


Makes a great gift! The 2017 Almanac is our Special 225th Anniversary edition and includes tributes from heads of state and famous names, founder Robert B. Thomas’s story, with reproduced pages from the first edition, Almanac moments in history: the snow-in-summer forecast, the Lincoln defense, the weather omission, the German spy plot, the JFK assassination hint, and more! Plus, the edition contains all of the wit, wisdom, stories, sky watch and calendar events for the entire year!


long range Forecasts Only?

The Old Farmer’s Almanac is so much more than the weather forecast, however, if you ONLY want the weather, just click here for INSTANT ACCESS to the 2017 long range forecast by region.


The 2017 Old Farmer's Almanac


Reader Comments

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Sorry: Cincinnati hits the

The Editors's picture

Sorry: Cincinnati hits the winter jackpot again! You're in the Ohio Valley, famous for clashes between cold weather systems from the north and moisture from the east. We are predicting colder than normal conditions with above-normal snowfall. For details, click on the town closest to you in Region 7 here: http://www.almanac.com/weather...

What does it look like for

What does it look like for the Carolinas, especially around the North Carolina mountain region and along the Virginia border? I just moved here and I'm curious as to what the winter weather will be like.

The Carolinas, north and

The Editors's picture

The Carolinas, north and south, will be cooler and rainer than normal. Look out for icey conditions at the beginning and end of January. Mountain areas tend to be colder and snowier; that's the case here. For details, click on Region 3 here (esp if you are closer to Asheville) and/or on Region 4: http://www.almanac.com/weather...

What does it look like for

What does it look like for the Carolinas, especially around the North Carolina mountain region and along the Virginia border? I just moved here and I'm curious as to what the winter weather will be like.

Hi , what's the winter

Hi , what's the winter weather predictions for Alaska and Central Oregon .thanks mike

Alaska's forecast is all over

The Editors's picture

Alaska's forecast is all over the place: It is highly regionalized, so difficult to detail here. In brief, it will be colder than normal in the north, and warmer than normal in the south. Snowfall will be similar. For details, see here at Region 17: http://www.almanac.com/weather...
Central Oregon is a split decision: lean left (west), and the prediction is for cold and snowy weather; lean right (east and it's expected to be mild and dry, relative to normal. You can ge more details by clicking on Region 13 and Region 15 at the same link given above.

I've seen several posts on

I've seen several posts on the internet already about extremely cold and wet winter for us here in Central Oklahoma. Can you shed any light on this subject? Thank You.

Don't know who/what else

The Editors's picture

Don't know who/what else you're reading on the Internet, but that's not our forecast. The Old Farmer's Almanac is predicting mild and dry conditions in central Oklahoma for this coming winter. There will be some cold days and certainly some flurries but not the extreme conditions that you cite.

Hi! I live in Washington

Hi! I live in Washington state and im curious if we will have any snow this winter . We've had record high temperature this summer and im wondering if that will change. Thank you!


We are predicting a cooler

The Editors's picture

We are predicting a cooler than normal winter for the Northwest, with above-normal rain- and snowfall.  However, if El Niño develops into something greater than weak or neutral, this forecast would probably not come to pass.

El Nino is already strong, so

El Nino is already strong, so at least the first part of the winter is sealed as warm/dry. It should weaken as winter progresses, so a very snowy/wet Jan-April could spell for most, if not all, of the winters snow. Also, keep in mind that an eleven inch snowstorm and an isolated period of extremely wet weather could make even the most barren and mild winters a 'wet and snowy' one. However, one thing is certain: THIS WINTER SHOULD BE WAY LESS MILD AND DRY THAN THE WINTER OF 2014-15, HOWEVER I STILL EXPECT A DOMINANTLY COLD AND SNOWY WINTER TO BE UNLIKELY.

I have been hearing a lot of

I have been hearing a lot of meteorologists talking about El Niño, which looks like will be fairly strong this year. They are saying that El Niño will cause the jet stream to lift warmer temperatures into the mid-Atlantic and Northeast states. How will this, if true, in fact your weather predictions?

El Niño would bring more rain

The Editors's picture

El Niño would bring more rain than we forecast to California, the north-central US would be milder than forecast, more of the southern quardrant would see cool and wet. Winter in the Northeast might be milder, but snowfall amounts could still be above normal.

I'm sorry to be another one

I'm sorry to be another one bombarding you, but I haven't had a chance to purchase thus year's issue yet, and I was wondering what is Ogden, UT looking like this winter? I just moved here and am curious. Thank you so much!

Hey, Late Kate, It's never

The Editors's picture

Hey, Late Kate, It's never too late! The short story is a pretty normal winter temperature-wise and about the same for precip and snow. There are snowstorms forecast for your region—two in December, one in January, and two in February—but we are predicting above normal amounts near Reno only. Hope this helps! You can find the Almanac here (Almanac.com/Store)—as a special offer(!) and wherever books and magazines are sold.
Thanks for your enthusiasm for this Almanac.

western ma and central ny?

western ma and central ny?

Cold and snowy!

The Editors's picture

Cold and snowy!

I'm concerned about the

I'm concerned about the drought in California, particularly the low snow amounts in the Sierra Nevada Mountains. Will 2016 be a better year for the snow-pack and help lessen the drought?


Hi, Janice, We wish we had

The Editors's picture

Hi, Janice, We wish we had better news: We are predicting below-normal mountain snows for this coming winter. Everyone here and around the country realizes the severity of the drought. We hope that we are wrong in our prediction for all the right reasons, but only time will tell.

How about Kansas City area?

How about Kansas City area? How much snow and cold?

Hi, Max, Your winter forecast

The Editors's picture

Hi, Max, Your winter forecast (region 10) calls for near-normal temps, with below-normal snowfall and precip. The dearth of precip in winter, followed by our prediction for a drier than normal April and May, going into a hotter and drier than normal summer may give rise to drought concerns.

Hi, I have a job that I

Hi, I have a job that I absolutely have to be there all the time. I have heard Amarillo, TX is going to have a very brutal winter and very heavy snow falls and blizzards. I am learning how to read the Almanic but still can't quite get it. Could you please help me know so I can prepare so I can make sure I get to work! Blessings.

Hi, Angela, Amarillo, Texas,

The Editors's picture

Hi, Angela, Amarillo, Texas, is in region 12, which runs from the Canadian border at Montana and North Dakota to just south of where you are in Amarillo. According to the summary of the forecast (at the top of page 203 of The 2016 Old Farmer's Almanac), you will see that in the southern portion of that region—your area—there will be above-normal temps and below-normal snowfall. There is, on the color weather map on page 96, a "swath" of white, indicating "mild and snowy" conditions east of Amarillo. If the wind blows in such a way as to blow snow into or towards Amarillo, you may have some snow. That said, we do not expect the kind of snow or snowstorms that you describe in your question to occur in the Amarillo area.
We hope this helps!

This is odd to me. Every

This is odd to me. Every meteorologist in Amarillo is predicting a hard snowy winter for us. This includes the NWS. So who do we believe? I suspect we will just have to wait and see.

Hi, could you tell me

Hi, could you tell me anything about winter expectations for the Gulf Coast area of Texas?

Hi, Donna, Our predictions

The Editors's picture

Hi, Donna, Our predictions for most of Texas and the portion of Oklahoma that comprises region 11 is a warmer and drier than normal winter.

What about the southeast?

What about the southeast? Seems you gave us an idea of every area except the southeast (Alabama, Georgia, Tennessee, Mississippi, Louisiana, Florida).

Hi, Sandra, The text on this

The Editors's picture

Hi, Sandra,
The text on this page is not the forecast in detail nor in its entirety. The states you cite are actually all or parts of several regions for which we make specific forecasts. In brief, because the details are in the Almanac, this coming winter, Lousiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle will have normal temps and below-normal precipitation. Georgia will see cooler than normal temps and above-normal precip. Florida, except for the Panhandle, will be mild and relatively dry.

Don't mind the cold, but the

Don't mind the cold, but the snow we had in Rhode Island last year was to much to handle. Please tell me RI is not going to get that much snow this year :)

We second that emotion, Deb!

The Editors's picture

We second that emotion, Deb! We are forecasting above-normal snow for southern New England but not record-setting amounts like we had last winter. Keep the shovel handy!