long range weather Forecasts for July 2016

Plan Ahead For Summer Fun!

June 20, 2016

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Here is our July monthly snapshot of the U.S. and Canadian Weather forecasts. 

Keep in mind that the forecasts presented below are based on “long range” weather predictions, which means that they were created many months ago to help gardeners, travelers, and weather watchers plan ahead. See how The Old Farmer’s Almanac predicts the weather.

So, we would advise treating long range predictions as you might trends, giving you a general sense of typical weather and how much the season might deviate from normal. Weather patterns can shift by a week and unexpected dynamics can occur. Ever year is different! That said, The Old Farmer’s Almanac is traditionally 80% accurate, having predicted weather since George Washington’s days as president.

Find next month’ free long range forecast here.

For short-term weather forecasts, you can always find our 7-day forecasts here.

July long range Weather Forecast for the United States


Region 1: Northeast

Temp. 69° (1° below avg.); precip. 4.5” (0.5” above avg.). 1–5 Sunny, hot, then cool. 6–14 Scattered t-storms, cool. 15–27 Several t-storms, seasonable. 28–31 Sunny, cool.

Region 2: Atlantic Corridor

Temp. 76° (avg.); precip. 5” (1” above avg.). 1–8 Scattered t-storms, turning cooler. 9–16 T-storms, then sunny, warm. 17–21 T-storms, then sunny, hot. 22–28 Scattered t-storms, locally heavy. 29–31 Sunny, warm.

Region 3: Appalachians 

Temp. 71° (2° below avg.); precip. 5.5” (2” above avg.). 1–8 T-storms, then sunny, cool. 9–16 T-storms, then sunny, cool. 17–21 T-storms, then sunny, cool. 22–28 Daily t-storms, humid. 29–31 Sunny north, t-storms south; cool.

Region 4: Southeast

Temp. 81° (1° below avg.); precip. 5.5” (1” above avg.). 1–4 A few t-storms. 5–7 Sunny inland, hurricane threat coast. 8–12 Sunny north, t-storms south. 13–21 A few t-storms, cool. 22–31 p.m. t-storms, warm.

Region 5: Florida

Temp. 83° (1° above avg. north, 1° below south); precip. 6.5” (avg.). 1–3 Sunny. 4–6 Hurricane threat. 7–17 Scattered t-storms, hot and humid. 18–23 Isolated t-storms, seasonable. 24–31 Scattered t-storms, seasonable.

Region 6: Lower Lakes

Temp. 69° (2° below avg.); precip. 4” (0.5” above avg.). 1–5 Sunny east, t-storms west; turning cool. 6–14 Scattered t-storms, cool. 15–23 Isolated t-storms, cool. 24–27 Sunny, nice. 28–31 T-storms, then sunny, cool.

Region 7: Ohio Valley

Temp. 73° (2° below avg.); precip. 6” (2” above avg.). 1–7 T-storms, then sunny, nice. 8–15 T-storms, then sunny, cool. 16–31 Scattered t-storms, cool.

Region 8: Deep South

Temp. 80° (1° below avg.); precip. 5.5” (3” above avg. north, 1” below south). 1–4 Sunny, hot north; t-storms south. 5–16 Scattered t-storms; hot, then cool. 17–25 Daily t-storms, cool. 26–31 T-storm, then sunny, warm.

Region 9: Upper Midwest

Temp. 64° (4° below avg.); precip. 3” (0.5” below avg.). 1–4 Sunny, turning cool. 5–15 Isolated t-storms, cool. 16–22 A few t-storms, cool. 23–31 Scattered t-storms, cool.

Region 10: Heartland

Temp. 74° (3° below avg.); precip. 3.5” (0.5” below avg.). 1–10 Scattered t-storms; cool north, hot south. 11–14 Sunny, cool. 15–20 T-storms, then sunny, cool. 21–24 T-storms, then sunny, cool. 25–31 T-storms, then sunny, cool.

Region 11: Texas-Oklahoma

Temp. 80° (1° below avg.); precip. 5” (2” above avg.). 1–11 Sunny, hot, isolated t-storms. 12–22 A few t-storms, cool north; isolated t-storms, hot south. 23–24 Sunny, cool. 25–31 Sunny north, heavy t-storms south; cool.

Region 12: High Plains

Temp. 70° (2° below avg.); precip. 1” (1” below avg.) 1–3 Sunny, hot. 4–10 Isolated t-storms; cool, then hot. 11–16 Isolated t-storms, cool. 17–23 Scattered t-storms, cool. 24–31 Sunny, hot north; a few t-storms, cool south.

Region 13: Intermountain

Temp. 77° (4° above avg.); precip. 1” (0.5” above avg.). 1–6 T-storms, then sunny, cool north; sunny, hot south. 7–12 Sunny, hot north; t-storms, warm south. 13–26 Sunny north, scattered t-storms south; hot. 27–31 Isolated t-storms, hot.

Region 14: Desert Southwest

Temp. 87.5° (2° below avg. east, 3° above west); precip. 1” (0.5” below avg.). 1–7 Sunny, hot. 8–12 Scattered t-storms, hot. 13–22 Isolated t-storms; cool east, hot west. 23–31 A couple of t-storms; cool east, hot west.

Region 15: Pacific Northwest

Temp. 68° (3° above avg.); precip. 0.2” (0.3” below avg.). 1–6 Showers, then sunny, cool. 7–15 Sunny, turning hot. 16–25 Isolated showers, warm. 26–31 Sunny, turning hot. 

Region 16: Pacific Southwest

Temp. 73° (2° above avg.); precip. 0” (avg.). 1–5 Sunny, cool. 6–13 Sunny, turning hot. 14–20 Sunny, warm inland; a.m. clouds and sprinkles, p.m. sun coast. 21–27 Sunny inland; a.m. clouds and sprinkles, p.m. sun coast; turning hot. 28–31 Sunny, very warm.

Region 17: Alaska

Temp. 40° N, 55° EW (2° below avg.); precip. 2.2” N, 5” S (1” above avg.). 1–9 Rainy periods, turning cool. 10–13 Showers, warm. 14–24 A few showers, warm P+A; showers, cool EW. 25–31 Showers, cool.

KEY: Panhandle (P), Aleutians (A), north (N), central (C), south (S), west-central (WC), east-central (EC), south-central (SC), elsewhere (EW)

Region 18: Hawaii

Temp. 80.5° (0.5° below avg.); precip. 0.3” (0.2” below avg.). 1–5 Daily brief showers, cool C+W; scattered t-storms, warm E. 6–19 Scattered light showers, nice C+W; a few showers, warm E. 20–31 Daily showers, cool.

KEY: east (E), central (C), west (W)


July long range Weather Forecast: Canada


Region 1: Atlantic Canada

Temp. 19°C (1°C above avg.); precip. 95mm (60mm above avg. north, 50mm below south). 1–2 Tropical storm threat. 3–7 Showers, cool. 8–10 Tropical storm threat. 11–17 Showers, then sunny, warm. 18–28 Scattered showers, turning very warm. 29–31 Rainy, cool.

Region 2: Southern Quebec

Temp. 21°C (1°C above avg.); precip. 120mm (40mm above avg. east, avg. west). 1–6 Isolated showers, turning cool. 7–14 Scattered t-storms, cool. 15–31 Scattered showers; warm east, cool west.

Region 2: Quebec du Sud

Temp. 21°C (1°C au-dessus de la moy.); précip. 120mm (40mm au-dessus de la moy. à l’est, moyenne à l’ouest). 1–6 Averses isolées, avec refroidissement. 7–14 Orages épars, froid. 15–31 Averses éparses; chaud à l’est, froid à l’ouest.

Region 3: Southern Ontario

Temp. 19.5°C (1°C below avg.); precip. 75mm (5mm below avg.). 1–10 Isolated t-storms, turning cool. 11–19 Scattered showers, cool. 20–31 T-storms, then sunny, nice.

Region 4: The Prairies

Temp. 17.5°C (1°C below avg.); precip. 45mm (20mm below avg.). 1–7 A couple of t-storms, cool. 8–14 Sunny, nice. 15–23 Scattered t-storms, cool. 24–31 Isolated t-storms, turning hot.

Region 5: Southern British Columbia

Temp. 18.5°C (2°C above avg.); precip. 75mm (40mm above avg.). 1–5 Showers, cool. 6–24 Sunny, turning hot. 25–31 Scattered showers; warm coast, hot inland.

Region 6: Yukon

Temp. 15°C (2°C above avg.); precip. 60mm (avg.). 1–8 Scattered showers, turning warm. 9–15 Showers, seasonable. 16–22 Sunny, turning very warm. 23–31 Showers; very warm, then cool.

Region 7: Northwest Territories

Temp. 16°C (1°C above avg.); precip. 60mm (25mm above avg.). 1–6 Scattered showers; cool, then warm. 7–14 Isolated showers, seasonable. 15–21 Sunny; warm north, cool south. 22–31 Showers; warm, then cool.

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