long range weather Predictions for October 2016

October Weather Forecasts

October 15, 2016

Check the long-range forecasts for your region to plan your October activities ahead.


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Here is our October monthly snapshot of the U.S. and Canadian Weather forecasts. 

Keep in mind that the forecasts presented below are based on “long range” weather predictions, which means that they were created many months ago to help gardeners, travelers, and weather watchers plan ahead. See how The Old Farmer’s Almanac predicts the weather.

So, we would advise treating long range predictions as you might trends, giving you a general sense of typical weather and how much the season might deviate from normal. Weather patterns can shift by a week and unexpected dynamics can occur. Ever year is different! That said, The Old Farmer’s Almanac is traditionally 80% accurate, having predicted weather since George Washington’s days as president.

Find next month’s free long range forecast here.

For short-term weather forecasts, you can always find our 7-day forecasts here.

October long range Weather Forecast for the United States


Region 1: Northeast

Temp. 53° (5° above avg.); precip. 3.5” (avg.). 1–6 Heavy rain, then sunny, cool. 7–16 Sunny, nice. 17–25 Showers, then sunny, mild. 26–31 Showers, cool.

Region 2: Atlantic Corridor

Temp. 62° (6° above avg.): precip. 4.5” (1” above avg.). 1–10 Rain, then sunny, warm. 11–16 Showers, mild. 17–23 T-storms, then sunny, warm. 24–31 A few t-storms.

Region 3: Appalachians 

Temp. 58° (5° above avg.); precip. 4” (1” above avg.). 1–6 T-storms, then sunny, cool. 7–16 Sunny north, showers south; mild. 17–24 Rain, then sunny, warm. 25–31 Rain, then sunny, cool.

Region 4: Southeast

Temp. 68° (4° above avg.); precip. 5” (1” above avg.). 1–6 Rain, then sunny, cool. 7–17 A few t-storms, warm. 18–22 Sunny, warm. 23–26 Showers, quite warm. 27–31 T-storms, then sunny, cool.

Region 5: Florida

Temp. 79° (4° above avg.); precip. 6” (2” above avg.). 1–5 T-storms, cool. 6–10 A few t-storms, warm. 11–17 Scattered t-storms, warm. 18–20 Sunny, warm. 21–31 A few t-storms, warm.

Region 6: Lower Lakes

Temp. 58° (6° above avg.); precip. 1.5” (1” below avg.). 1–5 Showers, cool. 6–14 Sunny, warm. 15–24 Showers, then sunny, warm. 25–31 Rain, then snow showers, turning cold.

Region 7: Ohio Valley

Temp. 62° (5° above avg.); precip. 2” (0.5” below avg.). 1–5 Showers, cool. 6–13 Isolated showers, warm. 14–17 Showers, mild. 18–24 Sunny, quite warm. 25–29 T-storms, then sunny, cool. 30–31 Snowy, cold.

Region 8: Deep South

Temp. 69° (4° above avg.); precip. 1.5” (1.5” below avg.). 1–7 Sunny; cool, then warm. 8–12 T-storms, then sunny, warm. 13–18 Scattered t-storms, warm. 19–25 Sunny, warm. 26–31 T-storms, then sunny, cool.

Region 9: Upper Midwest

Temp. 50° (6° above avg. east, avg. west); precip. 3” (0.5” below avg. east, 2” above west). 1–8 Showers, then sunny, cool. 9–18 Rain, then sunny, warm. 19–23 Rainy periods, mild. 24–31 Rain and snow showers, turning cold.

Region 10: Heartland

Temp. 60° (4° above avg.); precip. 3.5” (2” above avg. north, 1” below south). 1–6 Showers, then sunny, cool. 7–11 Sunny, warm. 12–19 T-storms, then sunny, mild. 20–25 Rainy periods, mild. 26–31 Sunny, turning cold.

Region 11: Texas-Oklahoma

Temp. 69° (2° above avg.); precip. 3” (1” below avg.). 1–8 Sunny north, a few t-storms south; cool. 9–13 T-storms, warm. 14–18 Sunny, nice. 19–25 A few t-storms north, sunny south; warm. 26–31 Sunny, turning cool.

Region 12: High Plains

Temp. 47° (2° below avg.); precip. 1.5” (0.5” above avg.). 1–6 Sunny, nice. 7–11 Rain and snow, chilly. 12–18 Sunny, turning mild. 19–27 Snowstorm, then sunny, cold. 28–31 Flurries, cold.

Region 13: Intermountain

Temp. 47° (4° below avg.); precip. 1.5” (avg. north, 1” above south). 1–5 Sunny, nice. 6–8 Showers, north, sunny south. 9–16 Showers north; snow, then sunny. 17–19 Showers north, snow south. 20–22 Sunny north, snowstorm south. 23–31 Snow, then sunny, cold.

Region 14: Desert Southwest

Temp. 65° (3° below avg.); precip. 1.5” (0.5” above avg.). 1–8 Showers, turning warm east; sunny, warm west. 9–16 Showers, then sunny, cool. 17–31 Showers, then sunny, cool.

Region 15: Pacific Northwest

Temp. 51° (3° below avg.); precip. 3.5” (1” above avg. north, avg. south). 1–5 Misty, mild. 6–10 Rainy periods, turning quite cool. 11–16 Rainy periods, some heavy; cool. 17–23 Showers, chilly. 24–31 Rainy periods, cool.

Region 16: Pacific Southwest

Temp. 62° (3° below avg.); precip. 0.5” (avg.). 1–7 Sunny; warm, then cool. 8–11 Sprinkles north, rain south; cool. 12–16 Sprinkles north, sunny south; cool. 17–22 Showers, then sunny, chilly. 23–31 Showers, then sunny, cool.

Region 17: Alaska

Temp. 12° N, 43° S (avg.); precip. 0.1” N, 6.6” S (0.4” below avg.). 1–4 Snow showers N+C, showers S. 5–12 Snow showers N+C, rainy periods S. 13–19 Flurries N, periods of rain and snow EW. 20–23 Snow showers, mild N+C; rain and snow, cold S. 24–31 Flurries, turning cold N; snowy periods, cold EW.

KEY: Panhandle (P), Aleutians (A), north (N), central (C), south (S), west-central (WC), east-central (EC), south-central (SC), elsewhere (EW)

Region 18: Hawaii

Temp. 79.5° (0.5° below avg.); precip. 2” (avg.). 1–9 Isolated showers, cool. 10–19 Daily showers, seasonable. 20–23 Showers and t-storms; cool C+W, warm E. 24–31 Isolated showers C+W, several showers E; cool.

KEY: east (E), central (C), west (W)


October long range Weather Forecast: Canada


Region 1: Atlantic Canada

Temp. 10.5°C (2°C above avg.); precip. 170mm (50mm above avg.). 1–3 Showers, cool. 4–10 Heavy rain, then sunny, mild. 11–15 Rain and snow showers, cold. 16–21 Showers, turning mild. 22–31 Sunny, then showers, mild.

Region 2: Southern Quebec

Temp. 10°C (2°C above avg.); precip. 90mm (10mm above avg.). 1–8 Showers, mild. 9–15 Sunny, mild. 16–25 Showers, then sunny, mild. 26–31 Showers, mild.

Region 2: Quebec du Sud

Temp. 10°C (2°C au-dessus de la moy.); précip. 90mm (10mm au-dessus de la moy.). 1–8 Averses, doux. 9–15 Ensoleillé, doux. 16–25 Averses, puis ensoleillé, doux. 26–31 Averses, doux.

Region 3: Southern Ontario

Temp. 13°C (4°C above avg.); precip. 65mm (avg.). 1–6 A few showers, cool. 7–19 Several showers, warm. 20–24 Sunny, warm. 25–31 Showers, then flurries, turning cold.

Region 4: The Prairies

Temp. 5°C (1°C below avg.); precip. 10mm (10mm below avg.). 1–5 Sunny; mild, then cool. 6–9 Showers east; snow, then flurries west. 10–11 Snow showers. 12–18 Rain, then sunny, mild. 19–21 Showers, mild east; snowy, cold west. 22–31 Snow showers, cold.

Region 5: Southern British Columbia

Temp. 8°C (1°C below avg.); precip. 130mm (30mm above avg.). 1–4 Sunny, mild. 5–10 Showers, cool. 11–19 Rainy periods south, rain and snow north; turning cold. 20–24 Rain and snow showers, chilly. 25–31 Rain, then showers coast; snow showers inland; turning cold.

Region 6: Yukon

Temp. –1°C (2°C below avg.); precip. 30mm (avg.). 1–5 Sunny, mild. 6–11 Snowy periods, cold. 12–17 Flurries, cold. 18–21 Snow, then flurries, very cold. 22–26 Snowy, cold. 27–31 Flurries, very cold.

Region 7: Northwest Territories

Temp. –3°C (1°C above avg.); precip. 16mm (5mm below avg.). 1–6 Flurries, seasonable north; showers, mild south. 7–9 Snow showers, cold. 10–12 Flurries north; rainy periods, mild south. 13–19 Snow showers; mild north, seasonable south. 20–24 Flurries, very cold north; snowstorm, seasonable south. 25–31 Flurries; mild, then cold.


The 2016 Old Farmer's Almanac


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