February Forecast Update: Winter Weather Ahead for Groundhog Day and Beyond

Find Out What Weather Is in Store for February 2020!

January 27, 2020
Groundhog in Snow
Brian E. Kushner/ShutterStock

The two most important events of the year for many both occur on the same day this year—Sunday, February 2—when Pennsylvania groundhog Punxsutawney Phil will be looking for his shadow during commercial breaks in the early-morning TV run-up to Super Bowl LIV, which will be taking place that evening in Miami Gardens, Florida’s partially covered Hard Rock Stadium. 

What sort of weather is in store for February 2020? Find out what to expect for Groundhog Day, Super Bowl LIV, and Valentine’s Day below!

Will the Groundhog See His Shadow?

On Groundhog Day, when Punxsutawney Phil emerges into the hoopla that goes on in his eponymously named town, he will probably see his shadow (as will Ontario’s Wiarton Willie, some 375 miles to the north), as clouds and flurries will be breaking for some sunshine—and this means 6 more weeks of winter. Of course, given how generally mild winter has been in most places so far this season, this may not mean particularly cold temperatures.

Groundhog Day 2013. Photo by Anthony Quintano.
Groundhog Day celebration in Punxsutawney, PA. Photo by Anthony Quintano.

Colder Temperatures in Store for North; Milder Weather South

We do expect some cold weather at least in Canada and the northern and eastern parts of the United States through the rest of the winter, and February will be colder, on average, than January. 

February temperatures will be above average across the southern tier of states, while cold weather will make inroads into much of Canada and the northern Plains and western states.

Watch for a snowstorm in the Northeast in early February, in the Midwest and Heartland at midmonth, and in the Pacific Northwest in February’s second week. In southern parts of Ontario and Quebec, be ready for a snowstorm around the 20th.

Learn more about Groundhog Day here—including the history of this strange tradition and the folklore associated with it!

Expect Superb Skies Over the Super Bowl

If you’re watching or attending the other big event on February 2, Super Bowl LIV, you can expect mostly clear skies above the flying footballs. Temperatures during the game will seem quite mild to visitors, but on the chilly side for Miami natives, as they fall from 72°F at kickoff to 67° by game end.

Don’t Forget About Valentine’s Day!

Now, there is one other big day in February, and my wife would be quite upset if I forgot about it—not to mention her. Valentine’s Day arrives on February 14, so: Attention, everyone!

Of course, Punxsutawney Phil will be back asleep by then, so he will likely miss what should be a mild day across most of the country, including his home turf of western Pennsylvania. Rain will be limited to a small part of the southern states and snow to only a few locations in the northern Plains, Great Lakes, and Pacific Northwest, while most of Canada will be experiencing a mild day with sporadic rain showers or snow flurries, depending on location.

Need some Valentine’s Day inspiration? Read more about the holiday here!

More Weather from The Old Farmer’s Almanac

For more weather forecasts and folklore, pick up a copy of the 2020 Old Farmer’s Almanac!

About This Blog

Mike Steinberg is Senior Vice President for Special Initiatives at AccuWeather Inc in State College, Pennsylvania. He is also a member of the National Weather Association and the Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society.

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