2021 Long Range Weather Forecast for Tonawanda, NY

Get the Long Range Weather for Your Location

See long range weather forecasts for the next 60 days from The Old Farmer’s Almanac! Our long range forecasts can be used to make more informed decisions about future plans that depend on the weather, from vacations and weddings to sporting events and outdoor activities.

To see long term forecasts for the entire year, pick up a copy of The 2021 Old Farmer’s Almanac, available online and in stores.

Note: Long range forecasts are regional, not city-specific.

Free 2-Month Weather Forecast

March 2021 Long Range Weather Forecast for Lower Lakes
DatesWeather Conditions
Mar 1-6Rain and snow showers, mild
Mar 7-11Snowstorm, then sunny, cold
Mar 12-20Rainy periods, warm
Mar 21-24Sunny, then rainy, cooler
Mar 25-31Sunny, cool
Marchtemperature 41° (3° above avg.)
precipitation 2.5" (0.5" below avg.)

April 2021 Long Range Weather Forecast for Lower Lakes
DatesWeather Conditions
Apr 1-6Showers, cool
Apr 7-14Showers, then sunny, hot
Apr 15-22Rainy periods, turning cold
Apr 23-30Showers, mild
Apriltemperature 50° (2° above avg.)
precipitation 4.5" (1" above avg.)

Annual Weather Summary
November 2020 to October 2021

Winter temperatures will be much above normal, on average, despite cold periods in early and mid-December, from late December into early January, in early to mid-January, and in late January. Precipitation will be near normal. Snowfall will be below normal in most areas, with the snowiest periods in early and mid-December, mid- to late February, and early to mid-March. April and May will have near-normal temperatures, on average, with precipitation a bit above normal in the east and below normal in the west. Summer will be warmer and rainier than normal in the east but cooler and drier in the west. The hottest periods will be in early June, from late June to early July, and in mid-August. September and October will be cooler than normal, with precipitation a bit above normal in the east and below normal in the west.

Map showing Old Farmer's Almanac long range weather region number 6

About the Lower Lakes Region

The Lower Lakes long range weather region includes all or part of the following states: ILLINOIS (Aurora, Chicago, Naperville, Peoria, Rockford), INDIANA (Fort Wayne, Gary, Hammond, Indianapolis, South Bend), MICHIGAN (Detroit, Flint, Grand Rapids, Sterling Heights, Warren), NEW YORK (Buffalo, Cheektowaga, Rochester, Syracuse, Tonawanda), OHIO (Akron, Cleveland, Parma, Toledo, Youngstown), PENNSYLVANIA (Erie, Hermitage, Meadville, New Castle, Sharon), WISCONSIN (Kenosha, Milwaukee, Racine, Waukesha, West Allis).

Lower Lakes Neighboring Regions

Here are the regions that neighbor the Lower Lakes long range weather region:

Temperature and Precipitation November 2020 to October 2021

Temperature and Precipitation Chart, November 2020 to October 2021 for Tonawanda, NY

Reader Comments

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Sunny here

Well, I'm between Cleveland & Toledo about 20 minutes from the lake, The last two days ( Feb 2nd & 3rd) have been sunny and very mild, 55 degrees today. . I'm in Lower Lakes region.

Robins in Northern climate

Robins eat fruits, berries, earthworms, grasshoppers, grubs. They do not exist on a seed diet. If they can find food and shelter, they will not migrate. You can hear their song all winter. Leave some meal worms on a high platform near some shrubs or other cover , and they will frequent the area. The sighting of robins indicates warmer weather or spring, is only because they are more active seeking local food sources.

November and December Averages Spot On

Here in southwest Lower Michigan the monthly averages that were forecast by TOFA were spot on. In Grand Rapids, MI we averaged exactly 4.0 degrees (above) for the month, and November averaged 5.0 degrees (below). The daily timing/temperature/precip were fairly close as well - nice job guys. Let's hope the January forecast (5.0 degrees above) is spot on as well. So far a pretty easy winter; just the way many of us like it.

That's in Indianapolis IN by

That's in Indianapolis IN by the way!

60th Birthday party

Planning a bash on February 22, 2020. Any snow storms likely?

snow totals

It is impossible to predict long term snowfall in Buffalo NY . Lake effect snow is unpredictable but right now the Lake is wide open . Which is not good going forward. Anyone who lives in Buffalo knows this.The week before and after Christmas is warmer than usual. with no snow. So this farmer almanac forecast is WAY off already. The only sure thing is we will get snow storms in Buffalo . When is anybody's guess but the local weather forecasters will warn us when it is going to happen.

Robin Hybernation

Brett's comment is absolutely correct. Robin hibernation is a little studied but steadily growing field of study in animal sciences. You don't hear about it very much, but I find robin/bear symbiosis to be a fascinating subject. Sadly there has been few academic studies on the matter.


Yes robins typically migrate (not hibernate) to the south by now. If a robin is hibernating, I would think he is most likely frozen dead.


We recieved snow and it became bitterly cold here but i had seen a couple of robins... was surprised to see them.. dont they hybernate or something for winter? I mean when you see a Robin it is a sign of spring ..well at least to me they are : )


Yes, it is unusual for robins to be out at this time of year since they should be hibernating by now. Once a bear has settled for the winter, the robin enters the den and snuggles into the bear's fur to hibernate. The trick is to get in after the bear begins hibernating, and out before it wakes. That's where we get the phrase, the early bird gets to stay alive instead of being chewed on like a two dollar steak.