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My kids have caught 6 in as many days and they have all been been almost all black with a a ring or two of orange. We are in Maryland, guess it's gonna be a rough winter.
Could it be that we are being naive assuming that there are only these two factors affecting the outcome of your weather predictions recently? Anytime I am trying to figure out why something abnormal is happening, I've always asked one question and then backtracked from the problem until I come up with my answer. The question is simply...- What, in this scenario, has been different leading up to said problem. The answer, if one is completely truthful, is usually pretty obvious. I've not thought much about weather prediction, but while reading this article I asked my simple question. The two factors y'all came up with have certainly made that process much more difficult. But I believe another factor negatively influencing your predictions are the "weather projects" and "cloud seeding" being done by many governments and scientists now.
They give their reasons for doing so as trying to end droughts, help upcoming crops, etc. I'm sure there are several other reasons they have for doing these things, for ever building HAARP or experimenting with 'controlling the weather', and I'm also quite sure we all were never meant to know them. It just seems that in doing these things, they are negatively impacting much more than weather predictions.
Is this subject too controversial for you guys to have included in your article, had y'all not considered it, or would this just fall under the broad term of climate change?
Thanks for another very interesting article. I love content that makes me consider things I never have before. Question Everything!
I live in northeastern Illinois, 35 miles north of Chicago, about 3 miles west of Lake Michigan. If anyone is going to get lake effect snow, we do. I'm keeping track of temperatures, humidity levels, and precipitation on a daily basis.
So far, this winter has been extremely close to the OFA forecast for my area, which included extreme cold in December and snow. It was about 10 days before Christmas that the temperature dropped substantially. Up to then, we'd had mild winter weather and some rain. Snow storms had gone north and south of us. Snow really started on 12/10/16 and continued to fall off and on, while the temps dropped further and further and by Dec. 14, it finally stopped. I walked over to the bank (about a mile) in the nastiest, beastly western wind I've had to face since high school (1960s), and took the bus to the store to get groceries, then got a cab to come home. Very glad I live in a civilized area! The most noticeable things were high humidity levels, in the 65% to 90% range, and that beastly wind which drove the snowstorm to us. Then it stayed in the 3F to 20F range until mid-January, when it started to warm up again, to the mid-30s and mid-40s daytime, and no colder than 19F at night. Humidity levels were still extremely high, in the 65% to 90% ranges, which is not normal for this area in the winter. I've never seen this happen before this year.
I think that atmospheric humidity levels have had a serious influence on the weather this winter. The most recent snow was this past Monday andTuesday. The local forecast was 3 to 6 inches. I waited until it stopped falling and measure it at 11 inches, not in a drift, just as it fell. The most important influence seems to be a high humidity level, which did not drop below 50% all winter. I think this is something new, but it's the third winter I've noticed higher than usual humidity indoors and outdoors both - no static electric shocks from appliances and doorknobs - that sort of thing.
I have also found that the weather service forecasts are frequently quite far from accurate when they try to go past one week ahead. I think we are in for a lot more winters like this. I'm just hoping for plenty of rain and cool weather this summer, for a nice, green lawn.
One last thing: I have a friend in California, a firefighter who responds to the forest fires. His answer to the 'shock and surprise' over the end of the 5-year drought in California is that the older forest service workers predicted it for 2016 or 2017. They knew it would end, but they were ignored. Maybe we should be listening to the old timers and be less dependent on computers.
My husband and I moved to Boise, Idaho in 1984. That Thanksgiving, people were cross country skiing down the streets, and snow stayed on the ground for 50+ days. Since that winter, nothing compared..... until this winter. This winter, my greenhouse collapsed from the weight of the snow. This winter, it was below freezing for weeks on end, with at least another snow storm every week. This winter was enough to make my husband and I decide to move south for the duration of our lives. We're going to let someone else shovel all that snow.
For all intents and purposes, Central Illinois has had no Winter this Winter. Oh, we've had the cold temperatures all right, but almost no snow. The ONE snowfall we had (of any depth at all), I got out the snow-blower and tried to start it: IT wouldn't start (probably inactive so long), so I put it back and hand-shoveled. With only 7 days left until the start of Spring, we got 4" of snow ... and it looked beautiful for a while, then temperatures went into the 40's and it's practically all gone, now, just 2 days later. I moved here from Southern California 20 years ago. Even I now have to say, "I miss Winter." IF we have to have the freezing temperatures, at least give us some snow to appreciate.
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