2021 Long Range Weather Forecast for Rochester, NY

Get the Long Range Weather for Your Location

See long range weather forecasts for the next 60 days from The Old Farmer’s Almanac! Our long range forecasts can be used to make more informed decisions about future plans that depend on the weather, from vacations and weddings to sporting events and outdoor activities.

To see long term forecasts for the entire year, pick up a copy of The 2021 Old Farmer’s Almanac, available online and in stores.

Note: Long range forecasts are regional, not city-specific.

Free 2-Month Weather Forecast

March 2021 Long Range Weather Forecast for Lower Lakes
DatesWeather Conditions
Mar 1-6Rain and snow showers, mild
Mar 7-11Snowstorm, then sunny, cold
Mar 12-20Rainy periods, warm
Mar 21-24Sunny, then rainy, cooler
Mar 25-31Sunny, cool
Marchtemperature 41° (3° above avg.)
precipitation 2.5" (0.5" below avg.)

April 2021 Long Range Weather Forecast for Lower Lakes
DatesWeather Conditions
Apr 1-6Showers, cool
Apr 7-14Showers, then sunny, hot
Apr 15-22Rainy periods, turning cold
Apr 23-30Showers, mild
Apriltemperature 50° (2° above avg.)
precipitation 4.5" (1" above avg.)

Annual Weather Summary
November 2020 to October 2021

Winter temperatures will be much above normal, on average, despite cold periods in early and mid-December, from late December into early January, in early to mid-January, and in late January. Precipitation will be near normal. Snowfall will be below normal in most areas, with the snowiest periods in early and mid-December, mid- to late February, and early to mid-March. April and May will have near-normal temperatures, on average, with precipitation a bit above normal in the east and below normal in the west. Summer will be warmer and rainier than normal in the east but cooler and drier in the west. The hottest periods will be in early June, from late June to early July, and in mid-August. September and October will be cooler than normal, with precipitation a bit above normal in the east and below normal in the west.

Map showing Old Farmer's Almanac long range weather region number 6

About the Lower Lakes Region

The Lower Lakes long range weather region includes all or part of the following states: ILLINOIS (Aurora, Chicago, Naperville, Peoria, Rockford), INDIANA (Fort Wayne, Gary, Hammond, Indianapolis, South Bend), MICHIGAN (Detroit, Flint, Grand Rapids, Sterling Heights, Warren), NEW YORK (Buffalo, Cheektowaga, Rochester, Syracuse, Tonawanda), OHIO (Akron, Cleveland, Parma, Toledo, Youngstown), PENNSYLVANIA (Erie, Hermitage, Meadville, New Castle, Sharon), WISCONSIN (Kenosha, Milwaukee, Racine, Waukesha, West Allis).

Lower Lakes Neighboring Regions

Here are the regions that neighbor the Lower Lakes long range weather region:

Temperature and Precipitation November 2020 to October 2021

Temperature and Precipitation Chart, November 2020 to October 2021 for Rochester, NY

Reader Comments

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Winter forecast Lower Lakes

Pretty close to the mark on that forecast: lots of snow near the end of February, but not particularly cold. The outdoor temps have gone up enough to melt the snow and it is rapidly melting away into the watershed.
The geese have already come back, along with the rest of the migratory feathered flockers, and I'm glad to see that because if they had stayed south, it would be unusual. Lake Michigan at its southern end has melted rapidly. Don't know about the northern end yet.
Really, this was quite a normal winter for the upper midwest where I live and even though I put out plenty of birdfood, they were fewer in numbers because everyone everywhere was feeding them, including people who don't usually do that.
Looking forward to a wet, normal Spring with rivers full to overflowing and lots of wildflowers in the DNR areas.


What was the weather like in 1692...I wonder what we did without blaming the change in the global temperature and just attribute it to natural effect...but weather has become a label of numbers and tragedy instead of reality

Very weird winter part 2

It also seems like we’ll be getting 40 degree days by late February/early March. What is up with that? That’s not winter weather at all. What a mad world we live in.

Very weird winter.

I may be on the younger side. But it feels like winters have changed. The last few have been so warm and lacking in snow. This one took a good long while to get going. November was very very warm and December was lacking in snow. Wasn’t till past New Years that we got real winter weather. Then we got the cold snap and a boat load of snow. But now it looks like things will go up above 32 degree again. Unnatural. I hope this isn’t a long term trend, but I never seem to get what I want :P.

all long term forecasts have been wrong

at least for this February. In January, here in the Detroit area, there was little snow on the ground at the end of the month. But, with the February Polar Intrusion (often incorrectly called a "Polar Vortex" NO...the latter is the normal state of affairs in the Arctic) it's been very cold with multiple snow events. I would say it's a Joe Dimaggio hitting streak and not a Babe Ruth Winter so far. Not a lot of "home runs"-six inches or one foot snowstorms, but many smaller ones. Similar with the low temperatures. Nothing below 0 F yet, but a LOT of days close to it...and high temps below freezing for weeks.
The Climate is Weird. Northern Siberia had multiple 80-100 degree days last Spring and Summer. But, those same areas have had a bunch of -80F days this Winter...and, that's not normal either.

weather modification

The weather predictions have been way-off. I'm wondering if that's because of geoengineering (weather manipulation)?

Why so far off?

I was wondering why the almanac is so far off. I live in Rockford, IL and it has snowed alot. But the temps are so far off. There is nothing mild about it and local weather is forecasting this weather trend to continue into March.

Northern Illinois

Although Northern Illinois did have an unusually mild winter until the end of January.
FA weather forecast missed February all together.
It has registered temps below zero for one week, this Friday (2/12/21), and according to the forecast we will remain in the single digits, at best, sub zero overnight for at least another 10 days.

Sunday the 7th was -17°...No living creature could ever refer to that as " rainy periods - quite mild".
We do have at least a foot of snow accumulated. So perhaps you have something with the "rainy periods" part of the description.

I have purchased The Farmers Almanac for 40+ years.
I don't remember the weather forecast being this far off base.

It's OK, I'm sure I'll buy the 2022 edition.
It's always a fun, clever, and often a predictive read.


Why is the forecast so far off for the lower great lakes? After studying the OFA for many decades, this is the greatest deviation I've seen.

MI winter snow

I LOVE snow! Where some despise it, others love and yearn for it. When it comes in heaps, they quickly want it to leave. An unsatisfied lot we are.