Summer Weather Forecast

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Forecast for Summer 2016: US and Canada

U.S. Summer Weather Forecast 2016

We bring you the 2016 Summer Weather Forecast summary for the U.S. and Canada.

When we released The 2016 Old Farmer’s Almanac last fall, we predicted a cooler than normal spring in most areas other than from Texas to Minnesota. In this same issue, we’re predicting hot summer temperatures for most areas. 

Summer Forecast 2016

We will have true summery weather this season. If you love the outdoors, you should be spending more time enjoying outside activities, as summer temperatures will be above normal in most of North America.

In the United States, summer temperatures will be above normal with exceptions in the Southeast, near the Gulf of Mexico, and along the spine of the Appalachians. Rainfall will be below normal in most of the nation’s midsection, which may reduce yields of corn, wheat, soybeans, and other crops grown within this area.

The drought in much of California will likely continue as well, putting additional stress on our food supply. 

In Canada, temperatures will be above normal, on average, throughout the entire Commonwealth. Rainfall will be above normal in British Columbia and parts of Quebec and below normal elsewhere.

Hurricane season will be more active than last year’s, with threats along the Atlantic and Gulf regions. The best chance for a major hurricane strike is from late August to mid-September along the Texas and Louisiana Gulf coasts and in early July in Florida. Find out the names of this year’s hurricanes here.

Our advanced weather forecast assumes that we will not have a repeat of the Mt. Tambora eruption like we did 200 years ago, causing the Year Without a Summer. If we do, look for cooler weather along with unusually beautiful sunrises and sunsets from ashy skies.

Click here for instant access to the complete 2016 Long-Range Weather Forecasts.

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Summer Weather Regional Highlights - U.S.

Below are regional U.S. weather highlights for July and August of 2016:

(Click here for a map to quickly identify your region.)

  • Northeast: Summer will be slightly hotter and rainier than normal, with the hottest periods in mid-and late June, early July, early to mid-August, and late August. Watch for tropical storm threats from mid-August to mid-September.
  • Atlantic Corridor: Summer will be hotter and rainier than normal, with the hottest perioeds in late June, mid-July, and early and late August. The greatest tropical storm and hurricane threat is from early August to mid-September.
  • Appalachians: Summer will be slightly cooler, with the hottest periods in mid-June and early and late August, and rainier than normal.
  • Southeast: Summer will be cooler than normal, with the hottest period in mid-August, and rainier than normal. The greatest hurricane threats will be in early to mid-July and mid-to late September. The greatest threat of tropical storms will be in mid-August.
  • Florida: Summer will be hotter than normal across most of the state, although slightly cooler than normal in the south. The hottest periods will be in early to mid-June, early to mid-July, and mid-August. Rainfall will be above normal, especially in the north, with hurricane threats in early July and early to mid-August.
  • Lower Great Lakes: Summer will be hotter and slightly drier than normal, with the hottest periods in mid- and late June and mid- and late August.
  • Ohio Valley: Summer will be hotter than normal, with below-normal rainfall in the east and above normal in the west. The hottest periods will be in late June and early and late August.
  • Deep South: Summer will be rainier and slightly cooler than normal, with the hottest periods in early June, mid-July, and early September. The greatest hurricane threats will be in mid- and late August and mid-September.
  • Upper Midwest: Summer will be hotter and drier than normal. The hottest periods will occur in late June and early and late August.
  • Heartland: Summer will be hotter and drier than normal, with drought a concern. The hottest periods will be in mid- and late June and early and mid- to late August.
  • Texas-Oklahoma: Summer will be slightly rainier than normal, with near-normal temperatures. The hottest periods will be in early and late June, early July, and late August.
  • High Plains: Summer will be slightly hotter and drier than normal, with the hottest periods in mid-June, early and late July, and mid-August. 
  • Intermountain and Pacific Northwest: Summer will be hotter than normal, with slightly above-normal rainfall. The hottest periods will be in mid-June, mid- and late July, and early August.
  • Desert Southwest: Summer will be slightly drier than normal, with temperatures below normal in the east and above normal in the west. The hottest periods will be in mid-June, early and mid-July, and early and mid- to late August.
  • Pacific Northwest: Summer will be warmer and rainier than normal, with the hottest temperatures in mid- and late July and early August.
  • Pacific Southwest: Summer will be hotter than normal, with near-normal rainfall. The hottest periods will be in early June, early to mid- and late July, and early and mid- to late August.
  • Alaska: Summer will be cooler and a bit wetter than normal, with the hottest period in mid-June.
  • Hawaii: Summer temperatures will be cooler than normal, on average, with slightly below-normal rainfall. The warmest period will be from the latter half of August into early September.

Summer Weather Regional Highlights - Canada

  • Atlantic Canada: Summer will be slightly warmer than normal, on average, with the hottest periods in late July and early August. Rainfall will be below normal despite several threats from the remnants of tropical storms in July, August, and early to mid-September. 
  • Southern Quebec: Summer will be warmer than normal, with the hottest temperatures in mid-June, late July, and early and late August. Rainfall will be above normal in the east and below normal in the west. 
  • Quebec du Sud: L’été sera plus chaud que la normale, avec les températures les plus chaudes à la mi-juin, fin juillet, et début et fin août. Les precipitations seront au-dessus de la normale dans l’est et en-dessous de la normale dans l’ouest.
  • Southern Ontario: Summer will be warmer and slightly drier than normal, with the hottest temperatures in early to mid- and mid- to late June and early and late August. 
  • The Prairies: Summer will be slightly hotter and drier than normal, with the hottest periods in late July and early and mid-August. 
  • Southern British Columbia: Summer will be warmer and rainier than normal, with the hottest periods in mid-July and early and mid- to late August.
  • Yukon: Summer will be warmer and drier than normal, with the warmest periods in mid-June, early and mid- to late July, and early August.
  • Northwest Territories: The summer season will be warmer than normal, with the warmest temperatures occurring in mid-June, mid-July, and mid-August. Rainfall will be above normal.

All of this information is provided as a free courtesy from The 2016 Old Farmer’s Almanac. Pick up a copy of our little yellow book for weather and so much more!

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Weather for Hampton Roads area of Va on 9/15-9/20

Planning a wedding event this weekend and would love to know what the weather maybe. Thanks

Weather conditions for Cape

Weather conditions for Cape May NJ for August 27 to September 3, 2016. Thank you!!

mid west summer storms

We are planning to travel through Iowa, the Dakota's and Montana the third week of August 2016 and are very concerned about all the storms happening there and up in Sask. Will these severe storms continue on the next few weeks?? Maybe fly instead??

August weather

Hi, Jill, Thunderstorms are forecast intermittently through August, broadly speaking, in the locations you cite. It’s summer, and thunderstorms happen in August. And in July, as we’re seeing. As for driving vs flying, speaking personally, would you rather be on the ground or in the air in such an event? Only you can answer that. We appreciate your faith in our forecasts. Please understand that thunderstorms typically just pop-up. We predict them for some days and not others but that does not mean that they will not occur on those “other” days. Have a safe trip! It’s beautiful country—both of them!

Loved ya'll all my life, ya

Loved ya'll all my life, ya'll are what I learned to read on for I ever started school

Free long range weather forecast

What will the weather be like on the week starting August 14th to till the 20th in Maine . Please and thank you

Forecast April 23,2016

Forecast April 23,2016

Free Long-Range Forecasts

Hi Jan, We offer the current month’s forecasts and the next month’s forecast for free on this site, courtesy of The Old Farmer’s Almanac.  Just hit the Weather tab.  For months beyond, look to the www.Almanac.com/store and you can purchase the digital long-range forecasts for the year!

What kind of weather will we

What kind of weather will we have on August 15th? 11719 area?

weather conditions for Cape

weather conditions for Cape Cod Massachusettes for September 5 through September 14 2015.Also sunrise and sunset times as well please. Thank you!

I would like to obtain the

I would like to obtain the weather conditions for September 25-26th of 2015 for Columbia, S.C.
I would like the time of sunrise and sunset on these dates as well.

Needing weather forcast for

Needing weather forcast for weekend of september 25 &26 2015 for an outside wedding in northeast Tennessee.

Looking for the forecast for

Looking for the forecast for Alaska for mid July. Doing a cruise.

The July long-range weather

The July long-range weather predictions are posted. Click on the Weather Tab above.  Keep in mind that these forecasts were created 18 month ago!  They are regional trends, not day-by-day forecasts.

I'm looking for the weather

I'm looking for the weather forecast for the weekend of August 22nd. 2015 for the Seattle WA. area

Thank God Oklahoma got a lot

Thank God Oklahoma got a lot of rain just before summer kicked in or the state would be in a lot of trouble.

I would be interested in

I would be interested in learning the weather for the first week in August 2015 near Rolla & Southeast Missouri

Thank You, Lisa

Weather for kansas 8-14-2015

Weather for kansas 8-14-2015 that week

Looking for a weather

Looking for a weather forecast for 8-12-15 through 8-17-15

Please provide me with

Please provide me with weather forecast for July 25, 2015 in Washington DC
Thank you

Hi, I'm looking fo weather

Hi,
I'm looking fo weather report in nor eastern Vermont for July 10th - 16th

Thanks

Hi there, I am looking for

Hi there,
I am looking for the forecast for July 18th 2015 in Kingston Ontario

I am trying to find out the

I am trying to find out the forecast in Pompton Lakes New Jersey for July 18th, 2015

I have family in the U.S. and

I have family in the U.S. and follow their weather on your wonderful charts- even when they go on vacation. Do you have them for the UK also, they seem great to have around.....Thank You, John.

Hello, I am trying to find

Hello,

I am trying to find forecast information for SK, AB and ON Canada for Summer and Fall 2015 (and Spring if possible) that shows in detail (the specific area (ie: southern SK (Regina area) or Calgary, AB area). I am seeking temperatures in order to estimate potential hail storms. I am looking for sudden notable changes in temperature hot/cold cold/hot.

We are in the catastrophe relief business and this would be very helpful for planning and preparation.

Thank you,
Leannie

Taken together, these two

Taken together, these two maps don't make sense to me.

Looking at the mostly Canadian map, it shows dry in the
western area (shown in red) and wet for the rest of the
country (shown in green). The red Canadian area shades to
a salmon color (dry) as it goes through the United States.
The green Canadian area shades to a light green (wet) as it
goes into the USA.

On the USA map, the red dry area shades to salmon (dry) in
Canada, which is green (wet)on the Canadian map. Also on the USA map, the green (wet) area shades to a light green
(wet), which is red (dry) on the Canadian map.

Also, how can Canada be wet and right across the border in
the United States, it is dry.

This is all very confusing.

-William

William, Look at the

William,

Look at the interactive maps to identify the region. The forecasts are specific to the region, not to the state/province. Those two maps are just generalized maps for overview purposes.

dont you know there is a wall

dont you know there is a wall at the boarder that goes about 4 miles up, lol I basically sounds like the people that did this are confused as well.

Lol, that was great. Thanks

Lol, that was great. Thanks for that.

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