2018–2019 Winter Weather Forecast

Winter Weather Predictions from The Old Farmer's Almanac

December 6, 2018
Hay Bales In Winter

Sunshine or snow? Be in the know! Read the official 2019 Winter Weather Forecast from North America’s #1 almanac to see the prediction for your area. Here’s a sneak peek.

The Old Farmer’s Almanac is North America’s most popular and longest-continuously-running almanac. Now on our 227 edition, we’ve been a trusted source for weather, astronomy, folklore and more since 1792, when George Washington was president!

Order your copy of The 2019 Old Farmer’s Almanac today to see monthly forecasts for your region—for winter, spring, summer, and fall.

2018–2019 Winter Weather Forecast: United States

2019 Winter Weather Forecast from The Old Farmer's Almanac - U.S.

Above-Normal Temperatures (Almost) Everywhere

This winter, we expect to see above-normal temperatures almost everywhere in the United States, except in the Southwest, where we’re predicting a colder-than-normal season. It’s still going to be wintery, of course, but it won’t be an especially frigid year. Our milder-than-normal forecast is due to the expected arrival of a weak El Niño, which will prevent cold air masses from lingering in the North. Despite a decrease in solar activity, we predict that the other factors that contribute to winter weather will keep temperatures above normal.

More Rain, Less Snow

In terms of precipitation, we are predicting above-normal levels for most of the country, except in the Southeast, southern California, the nation’s midsection, and parts of Alaska and Hawaii, where normal or below-normal precipitation amounts are expected instead.

As for snow, we expect to see below-normal levels of snowfall in areas that normally get snow, with the interior West and a small part of the nation’s midsection being the snowier-than-normal exceptions.

2018–2019 Winter Weather Forecast: Canada

2019 Winter Weather Forecast from The Old Farmer's Almanac - Canada

Mostly Cold…

Thanks to a decrease in solar activity and the weak El Niño moving in, we are predicting colder-than-normal winter temperatures for most of Canada. The exceptions to this are northern Atlantic Canada, where temperatures will be milder than normal, and Pacific Canada and the southern two-thirds of Ontario, where temperatures are expected to be within the normal range. 

…And More Snowy Than Normal

An above-normal level of snowfall is predicted for all of Canada this winter. Prepare the sleds and snowplows!

Learn More About the Weather

2019 Old Farmer's Almanac

For more detailed weather forecasts for this winter and beyond, order your print or digital copy of The 2019 Old Farmer’s Almanac from the Almanac store or from Amazon.com. Also available in stores near you!

Did you know? The Almanac is much, much more than a weather prognosticator. Take a look inside our little yellow book!

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Reader Comments

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Winter weather

The Almanac has not even come close to winter weather. It's been a record year for cold and snow in the western states.

Almanac Wrong For Southern California

Almanac predicts dry 2019 winter for Southern California. Probably close to a record wet year.

PNW weather

Are we past the frost danger in Seattle? We want to put our plants out! Thank you

Seattle Frost

The Editors's picture

Check out our Planting Calendar to see your local last spring frost dates and for recommended planting times!

And to answer your question: No, it’s not yet safe for frost-intolerant plants in Seattle. The last spring frost typically occurs in early to mid-March in the Seattle area. 

Caribbean weather for Valentines Week 2019

I am going on a cruise Feb 9th - 16th! Wondering what weather will be like in Falmouth Jamaica, the Grand Cayman, Cazumal, & Costa Maya. Can anyone guide where to find this answer?


Will it snow in Mississippi any next week

Weather predictions

The farmers almanac could not have been more wrong for the prediction of extreme cold in Manitoba. Could not be more wrong .we are experiencing one of the warmest winters.

I especially like where

I especially like where Minnesota is going to be warmer than normal and magically right into Canada it will be colder than normal. Is there an undiscovered mountain range in Northern MN?

Winter Snow in Alabama

I am trying to figure out if we are going to have any snow in Alabama this winter (2019). We usually have a couple of light snows each winter; however, from what I am here we might not get any.

very wet as predicted

Yep you guys are spot on for here in the Carolina's . Ever since Hurricane Florence we have had higher amounts of Rain. This coming week right into 2019 we are forecasted to have rain, rain, rain. Also spot on with higher than normal temperatures. This coming Friday the 28th we are going to see temps in the 70's..


Well it is really warm up hear in Western New York and it is still early in the morning.

Tim Dwyer from PV?? :)

Tim Dwyer from PV?? :)


What's the snowfall prediction amd timing for north central Maryland? I want snow....


Your weather predictions have been spot on the past two winters.
Trees loaded with acorns the past two years. We had plenty of snow.
Looking forward to my Christmas present of the almanac under the tree.
Thank you.


The Editors's picture

That’s great to hear! Have a wonderful holiday season.

Hornets Nests

Can you tell me what it means when hornets build their nests high up in a tree?

hornet nests and weather

The Editors's picture

Hi there! Unfortunately, the folklore meaning is not clear. According to some weather lore sources, hornets build nests high before a warm summer, and low before cold and early winters. Similarly, Kentucky and Ozark folklore says that if hornets build their nests high, expect a mild winter; a low nest would mean a cold winter. However, there are other weather folklore traditions that say a high hornet’s nest means a harsh or snowy winter! In nature, a hornet’s nest in winter will not house any live hornets; the workers, males, and old queen die in fall/winter cold. The new queen will hibernate over winter in the earth, rock crevices, or bark and build a new nest next year.

We’re driving up North to go

We’re driving up North to go see snow the weekend of january 4th, 2019. Wheres the closest area to Florida where we can go for guaranteed snow.

Winter Is Coming December 1 Starts Saturday

Winter's Coming And We're Supposed To Get Alot Of Snow Days In Western Pennsylvania. A Bad Monster Snowstorm. Remember It Cannot Be Mild In Winter. Only A Horrible Winter. Like Last Year. I See It Snowing Every Midnight.

Your Prediction

Your prediction are totally off, I mean literally way off!!! Blizzard is heading to Chicago Sunday going into Monday which is Thanksgiving weekend!

blizzard in Midwest

The Editors's picture

RIght, we predicted snow at the end of November and several times in December (still time to see how that works out). We really appreciate the faith and trust you put in our forecasts. Thank you for taking the time to write!

Kansas Blizzard 2018

You were definitely right about the blizzard!

Utah winter forecast specifically Central Utah

What are your predictions for precipitation for Central Utah now-April


What’s the weather prediction for august 17,2019 in Bennington VT? Outdoor wedding planned. Thank you

an august wedding

The Editors's picture

The predictions for the period August 16 to 22 is “a few thunderstorms, turning cool.” Best wishes!

Weather Accuracy

NOAA and your service are calling for a warmer than average Winter season (who can say what is average anymore) which sounds reasonable to me given the mild El Nino forecast and the pattern of recent seasons with a cold blast mid-November to early December with warming before Christmas thru New Years then two cold snaps, one each in Jan & Feb. However two major weather services have just forecast colder than normal and Much colder than normal temperatures in the Northeast for the next 90 days [one of these two services actually wants to buy the US Weather Service from the Commerce Dept.] I tend to lean on the trend of warmer winters but this fear has sparked the heating oil market to new seasonal highs and now it costs more to fill up the tank. Are you STILL sure your forecast has not changed?

change the forecast?

The Editors's picture

Perish the thought! We do not change our forecast after it has been published (and not much before, either). As for what is average, it’s not our decision; these are based on 30-year statistical averages prepared by government meteorological agencies and updated every 10 years. Read about it here: https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/data-access/land-based-station-data/land-based... The most recent tabulations span the period 1981 through 2010, and our forecasts emphasize temperature and precipitation deviations from averages, or normals, based on the 30-year periods.

Thanks for asking!

South Mississippi Weather prediction for December 15th. 2019

My Son is getting married and his Fiance' is trying to decide if she should purchase a winter wedding gown or a summer, because this is in fact South Mississippi (Gulfport). Please help.

December temps

The Editors's picture

Is it too late? We are predicting an average temperature of 46°F across the Deep South region (this includes but is not only Mississippi. Specifically on December 15, we are predicting sunny, cold conditions after a period of rain and/or snow flurries in the region—but it would be rare to see snowflakes on the Gulf Coast! Best wishes!