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The Almanac has historically been very accurate with weather predictions. But to place blame on the staff for the lack of rain is crazy and I personally feel no apologies are necessary.
The Almanac offers weather PREDICTIONS. Information is gathered from multiple sources and then what is offered is (let's face it) and educated guess. Not a certainty, but a possibility.
Please continue with what I consider to be excellent predictions. California is at this moment in the midst of a great storm, so I don't think your Jan-Feb precipitation prediction was wrong, just a few weeks late!
Why are you not warning your subcribers to the influence of weather by the gross dumping of heavy metals and other particulates by jets through GeoEngineering? This is the reasons for such extreme weather patterns. What is your opinion? Thanks!
Thank you. The Almanac staff historically has done a great job. They give the best probabilities.
This current storm won't end the drought but it will offer some much needed relief.
I'm not sure that all El Nino events are similar both in strength ( http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/tao/elnino/faq.html#same ) and their predominate weather effects( http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/ENSO/composites/elnino.son.precip.gif ). As the CPC gif shows in the hyperlink above, for autumn in Southern Oregon/Northern California, one landscape can be dry whereas an adjacent landscape can be wet. Of course, these gifs are derived from historical data and thus are a statistical description.
Not all El Ninos are the same. The Japanese have pointed out a Central Pacific El Nino style of event that leaves California dry. (They call it a El Nino Modoki.) Most standard El Ninos, ones that stretch accross the Central and East Pacific, even weak ones, bring some great rains. Even the Japanese at this point see a chance of a normal El Nino.
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