Summer Weather Forecast 2020: Steamy July Ahead

Temperature Outlook for July

June 22, 2020

Ready for July weather? We predicted that summer weather would be warmer than average, and July is no exception. It’s not just the fireworks that will be hot! Check out our forecast to see the July 2020 temperature outlook for your area, compliments of The Old Farmer’s Almanac.

July Forecast: Summertime Celebrations

July will bring opportunities for plenty of fireworks, with Canada Day on the 1st and U.S. Independence Day on the 4th.

Canada Day (July 1) weather will be on the hot side in nearly the entire Commonwealth, with cooler temperatures limited to Nova Scotia, Nunavut, and northern portions of the Northwest Territories. Most of us will have dry weather, despite a few showers scattered about.

U.S. Independence Day (July 4) will be a warm one in New England and most of the western states, but on the cool side for summertime elsewhere—pleasant temperatures for barbecues and most other outdoor activities, although a bit cool for the beach. Thunderstorms or at least showers will be scattered about nearly every state, but most will be short–lived and not put a damper on evening fireworks displays, even if private (where legal and safe).

Another day of note in July is Parents’ Day, on July 26. A hurricane may threaten to send kids in Texas to bed without supper, but in most other areas, the weather will be favorable for picnics or for making the kids mow the lawn.

Summer Weather Forecast for the U.S.

Will It Be a Hot Summer?

If you like your summers nice and hot, you’re all set! Summer temperatures will be hotter than normal, with the hottest periods in mid-June, mid- to late July, and early August. Rainfall will be below normal in the north and above normal in the south.

June set the tone for the season. We predicted above-normal temperatures in the northeastern quarter of the United States, the Pacific Northwest, and Alaska; June temperatures were expected to be cooler than normal in most other areas, including Florida, the Southeast, the Intermountain region, and from Texas-Oklahoma west to the California coast. 

Most areas were forecasted to have near- to above-normal rainfall in June, with drier weather expected in Northeast, Appalachians, Southeast, Desert Southwest, Pacific Northwest, Hawaii, and southern Alaska.

July 2020

July will bring mostly good weather for outdoor activities—especially those near water—with temperatures above normal in nearly all of the northern half of the United States. In the Heartland and across the southern half of the United States, although temperatures will be near or slightly below normal, on average, there will still be plenty of hot days.

July rainfall will be below normal from the Northeast westward across the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley through the Upper Midwest and Heartland. Rainfall will also be below normal in the High Plains, Desert Southwest, and Pacific Northwest. Elsewhere in the United States, rainfall will be near or above normal, with well above–normal rainfall and many thunder bumpers in the Atlantic Corridor, Southeast, Deep South, Texas, and Oklahoma.

To see the extended forecast for your region, check out our free 60-day Long Range Forecasts!

A Muggy Mid-Summer for Some

Summer’s steamiest weather will hold off until mid–July in most areas. Gardeners almost everywhere—in the Intermountain and Pacific regions, northern Alaska, from most of Texas northward to Canada and eastward to the Atlantic—may be relieved to hear that summer rainfall will be above normal. I’m sorry to say that watering cans will be needed in the Sunshine State (Florida).

Farther north, summer temperatures will be hotter than normal across the entire Canadian Commonwealth. Rainfall will be below normal in most of Atlantic Canada and in a swath from western Ontario northward to southeastern Nunavut and above normal elsewhere.

Hurricane Season Began on June 1

As you may have heard, June 1 marked the official beginning of Atlantic hurricane season, which runs until November 30. We are predicting tropical storm activity to be near average, with the best chance for a major hurricane strike to occur in mid-September from Florida to North Carolina.

Other threats of hurricanes or tropical storms will occur in the same area in mid- to late June, in Florida in mid- to late July and mid- to late October, and in early to mid-October from the Deep South and Southeast northeastward to New England. 

► How many hurricanes are expected this year? See the full 2020 hurricane forecast here.

Summer Weather Forecast for Canada

A Hot One Up North, Too!


In June, temperatures were expected to be above-normal in almost all of Canada, save for the Atlantic provinces. Rainfall was predicted to be similarly above-average in most of the country, but drier weather was expected in the Atlantic Provinces, Quebec, and British Columbia.


In time for Canada Day on the 1st, summer temperatures will continue to be hotter than normal across the southern three-quarters of Canada. Northern Canada will be on the cool side during July. July rainfall will be above normal in most of the Canadian Commonwealth, although Atlantic Canada and the Prairies will be on the dry side.

Learn More About the Weather

For additional weather forecasts (and a whole lot more), pick up a copy of the 2020 Old Farmer’s Almanac, available at our online store and!

Reader Comments

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Not sure about eastern Canada

Not sure about eastern Canada, but these predictions are out to lunch for the west. It’s been a terrible summer so far. As for Canada day being hot? Haha! Try rain, storms and below average temps. The long range forecast is also straight crap weather.

Date and Month is wrong

We are in June-18th 2020 NOT May 29th , so our forcast for today is wrong and any other day if you dont change it ,, Newfoundland Canada

Long-Range Forecasts

The Editors's picture

May 29 is when this article was originally published. However, the forecast is for the summer season. Our long-range forecasts are produced and published months in advance in order to give readers a view of what weather’s on the way!

I love seeing the forcast for the USA

What fun!! Love seeing all the info on the weather throughout our Beautiful USA! Thank you...thinking of purchasing the almanac.

thks for the newsletter really enjoy

I use all information for planning my outside work

Summer 2020

Ugh. Sizzle/Drizzle. Hot and humid. Oh boy!