2021 Long Range Weather Forecast for Toronto, ON

Get the Long Range Weather for Your Location

See the extended forecast for Toronto, Ontario, part of the Southern Ontario weather region. Our 60-day weather forecast includes the temperature and precipitation outlook versus normal for each month.

Note: The Old Farmer’s Almanac weather predictions are based on trends and long range forecasts made more than a year in advance. Learn more about how we predict the weather.

For the complete 12-month long range prediction, pick up a copy of The Old Farmer’s Almanac!

Free 2-Month Weather Forecast

January 2021 Long Range Weather Forecast for Southern Ontario
DatesWeather Conditions
Jan 1-5Flurries, cold
Jan 6-12Snow, then flurries; cold
Jan 13-19Snow showers, cold
Jan 20-25Flurries, cold
Jan 26-31Lake snows, cold
Januarytemperature -10°C (3°C below avg.)
precipitation 75mm (15mm above avg.)

February 2021 Long Range Weather Forecast for Southern Ontario
DatesWeather Conditions
Feb 1-7A few showers, quite mild
Feb 8-15Periods of rain and snow east, snow west; mild
Feb 16-20Sunny, mild
Feb 21-28Rain and snow showers east, flurries west; turning cold
Februarytemperature -2°C (3°C above avg.)
precipitation 85mm (25mm above avg.)

Annual Weather Summary
November 2020 to October 2021

Winter temperatures will be slightly below normal in the east and slightly above normal in the west, with the coldest periods in early to mid-December, from late December into early January, and in mid- and late January. Precipitation and snowfall will be much above normal, with the snowiest periods in mid-December, early to mid-January, and early to mid-March. April and May will be cooler and rainier than normal in the east and warmer and drier in the west. Summer will be slightly cooler and rainier than normal in the east and hotter with near-normal rainfall in the west. The hottest periods will be in early June and mid-August. September and October will be cooler than normal, with near-normal precipitation.

Map showing Old Farmer's Almanac long range weather region number 3

About the Southern Ontario Region

The Southern Ontario long range weather region includes all or part of the following provinces: ONTARIO (Alliston, Amherstburg, Barrie, Bolton, Bradford, Brantford, Chatham, Cobourg, Collingwood, Elliot Lake, Fergus, Fort Erie, Georgetown, Guelph, Haileybury, Hamilton, Ingersoll, Kenora, Kitchener, Leamington, Lindsay, London, Midland, Milton, North Bay, Orangeville, Orillia, Oshawa, Owen Sound, Paris, Peterborough, Port Hope, Sarnia, Simcoe, Stouffville, Stratford, Strathroy, Sudbury, Thunder Bay, Tillsonburg, Timmins, Toronto, Uxbridge, Wallaceburg, Windsor, Woodstock).

Southern Ontario Neighboring Regions

Here are the regions that neighbor the Southern Ontario long range weather region:

Temperature and Precipitation November 2020 to October 2021

Temperature and Precipitation Chart, November 2020 to October 2021 for Toronto, ON

Reader Comments

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the good ol farmers of Ontario !!

Bless the warm hearts of all our Canadian farmers bust more so the good ol boys of Ottawa valley puttin in long hours of hard work so absorbed nothing on their minds but hard work to bring food to fork not even caring as to all that meadow muffin blues they got stuck on the bottom of they shoes trackin it all through town smellin up the whole place poor mildred stepped in some and slipped and broke her hip bone the poor ol lady is like a saint in these parts now she smells like a barnyard and has a broken hip !! I think we needs to pull together here as a community and reminds our good ol BOYs to please check they bottoms of they shoes for those meadow muffins we cant be havin no more blues

Any Blizzard or bad storm due in Jan or Feb?

I want to book a week off work in Jan or Feb, especially if there will be a big dumping of snow; so then I can avoid the drive to work. So, what week looks good for a potential stay at home week? (I live in the north Toronto GTA)

Snowcation

The Editors's picture

Hi, Ann Marie: While there will be plenty of snowy periods in January and February, the only “snowtime” that really stands out for us right now is the first week of January. It’s hard to say whether this will be a sustained dumping, though! Thanks for asking and have a nice week off, whenever it is!

What is considered Southern

What is considered Southern Ontario region is the problem for many. The weather in Windsor and Barrie are 2 different worlds. For instance, Barrie might get a foot of snow, while in Windsor-Essex at the same time, it could be sunny and 50F degrees.

Right You Are

The Editors's picture

Hi, Jerry. You are absolutely correct! We are working on ways to make our southern Ontario forecasts more localized, but unfortunately this is complicated on our end. Thanks for taking the time to comment—we hear you!

Snow

I have 2 questions,

1. When is the next snowfall in Toronto? (I am not from Toronto)

2. Can you change the forcast so that the forcast is correct and not guessing?

Addressing Two Comments

The Editors's picture

Hi, Padh: Thank you so much for taking the time to make this comment as well as the one below. We really appreciate it when folks like you ask us questions about just about anything! To answer (we hope!) your concerns: Our forecasts use our 228-year-old method that over time has proven (and continues) to be about 80% accurate. The predictions are made up to a year-and-a-half ahead of time; these November forecasts were arrived at this past January. It is definitely true that we do miss things (about 1 in 5 times), but it is important to remember that our Southern Ontario Region 3 weather region is a huge area stretching from the suburbs of Toronto west to the Manitoba border and north almost to Metagama. When we predict weather for the region, we are doing so for the average of the entire area; even when we say “east” or “west,” we are talking about that part of the region in general. So it may well be the case—and in fact is so fairly often—that while in one prediction locale we are right, in another we are wrong. In general, though, the odds are that we will be correct for where we predict. As far as the next “snow” in Toronto goes, it could be at any time, but we see the next big snowstorm as arriving in mid-December. With regard to changing our forecasts, we would never do that. In fact, sometimes we do have that opportunity, particularly for late summer and early fall when we can get a better handle on the near-term weather before our next year’s forecasts made months before are actually published. We never update them not because of stubbornness, but because 228 years of history have taught us to stick with what has worked so well, and in the few times when we have made last-minute tweaks, we have lived to regret them. Once again, thank you very much for taking the time to write!

Snow Storms (Week 1 & Week 2 Of November)

I would like to say that your forcast for the week 1 and 2 is wrong. Sorry, but here in southern Ontario, we got like 30 cm of snow in 1 day. I am not going to use this website anymore. We had a total of over 50 cm in the first 2 weeks of November. I used to think the forcast was correct here but not anymore. Thanks a lot!

East/West

Would Thunder Bay be considered “West” in your forecast?
Not sure where you guys consider the line to be.

Caitlin Snow

Will this year be a white Christmas? When's the first heavy snowfall?

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