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White Christmas Forecast 2026: U.S. and Canada Maps by Region

white christmas forecast OFA, trees and snow, and cabin
Written By: Catherine Boeckmann Executive Digital Editor and Master Gardener

Dreaming of a white Christmas? See what The Old Farmer’s Almanac predicts for Christmas 2026, with forecast maps for the U.S. and Canada.

This year, the Northeast, Intermountain, and Alaska regions are forecast to have a white Christmas, while several other U.S. regions have a chance. Much of northern Canada is also forecast to have a white Christmas. Find your region on the maps below!

What counts as a white Christmas? According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, it means having at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on Christmas Day. It doesn’t necessarily have to snow that day.

Will There Be a White Christmas in the U.S.?

The 2026 outlook varies considerably across the country—even between neighboring regions. For example, the Northeast is forecast to have a white Christmas, while the Atlantic Corridor is not. See the map and regional breakdown below.

2026 U.S. white Christmas forecast map showing a white Christmas in the Northeast, Intermountain, and Alaska, with chances in several other regions.
2026 white Christmas forecast for the United States, by region.
Credit: The Old Farmer’s Almanac. [Click to enlarge]

White Christmas Forecast by U.S. Region

According to The Old Farmer’s Almanac 2026–2027 Winter Weather Outlook:

  • Northeast: A white Christmas
  • Atlantic Corridor: Not a white Christmas
  • Appalachians: Not a white Christmas in the north; chance of a white Christmas in the south
  • Southeast: Not a white Christmas
  • Florida: Not a white Christmas
  • Lower Lakes: Chance of a white Christmas
  • Ohio Valley: Chance of a white Christmas
  • Deep South: Not a white Christmas
  • Upper Midwest: Not a white Christmas
  • Heartland: Not a white Christmas
  • Texas–Oklahoma: Not a white Christmas
  • High Plains: Chance of a white Christmas
  • Intermountain: A white Christmas
  • Desert Southwest: Not a white Christmas
  • Pacific Northwest: Chance of a white Christmas
  • Pacific Southwest: Not a white Christmas
  • Alaska: A white Christmas
  • Hawaii: Not a white Christmas

Will There Be a White Christmas in Canada?

Our neighbors to the north are in luck for sleigh rides and snowball fights in many areas this holiday season!

2026 Canada white Christmas forecast map showing a white Christmas across much of northern Canada, with chances in parts of southern Canada.
2026 white Christmas forecast for Canada, by region.
Credit: The Old Farmer’s Almanac. [Click to enlarge]

Across Atlantic Canada, there is a chance of a white Christmas in the east and a white Christmas in the west. Southern Quebec is forecast to have a white Christmas. In southern Ontario, there is a chance of a white Christmas in the east and a white Christmas in the west.

Moving west, the southern Prairies are forecast to have a white Christmas, while southern British Columbia has a chance of one. Along the coast of northern British Columbia, up to the Alaska border, however, the outlook is not a white Christmas.

Farther north, Yukon, the Northwest Territories, and Nunavut are all forecast to have a white Christmas. The outlook also calls for a white Christmas for the rest of northern British Columbia, the northern Prairies, northern Ontario, northern Quebec, and northern Newfoundland and Labrador.

For a broader look at the Almanac’s seasonal forecasts, see our 2026–2027 Winter Weather Outlook.

What Are the Odds of Having a White Christmas?

Not your year for snow? Maybe next year! If you’re curious about your chances of a white Christmas, take a look at the historical odds. The NOAA map below shows the probability of having at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on Christmas Day, based on 1991–2020 climate data. Remember, these are historical averages—not predictions for Christmas 2026.

Historical Chances of a White Christmas (1991–2020)

NOAA map showing historical white Christmas probabilities across the contiguous United States, with the highest chances in northern states and mountain regions.
Historic probability of at least 1 inch of snow on Christmas Day, based on 1991–2020 climate normals. Credit: NOAA Climate.gov/NCEI.

Whether your Christmas is white or not, we wish you a holiday filled with warmth, joy, and good cheer. Merry Christmas from all of us at The Old Farmer’s Almanac!

Long-Range Weather Forecast
Sources
  1. NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information — Are You Dreaming of a White Christmas?

About The Author

Catherine Boeckmann

Catherine Boeckmann

Executive Digital Editor and Master Gardener

Catherine Boeckmann loves nature, stargazing, and gardening, so it’s not surprising that she and The Old Farmer’s Almanac found each other. She leads digital content for the Almanac website and is also a certified master gardener in the state of Indiana.

Read more from Catherine Boeckmann

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Comments

<span>Alex</span> Mon, 12/15/2025 - 09:54
Will it be a white christmas for northern utah?
<span>Sherri</span> Fri, 11/28/2025 - 00:04
Will central Illinois have snow for Christmas?
<span>Mary</span> Thu, 12/12/2024 - 11:13
Inquiring minds must know - who, what, and why are the tiny people in southwest Ohio on the Will There Snow for Christmas US map??? :D
<span>Pat Murphy</span> Sun, 12/08/2024 - 10:03
You NEVER show Wyoming, Nebraska, or So. Dakota om any of your reports WHY???
<span>Monir</span> Fri, 11/29/2024 - 13:12
Hello haw are you
<span>Maddy</span> Wed, 12/13/2023 - 22:50
Will it be snowy on Christmas this year for me? I live in Forney Texas. I am hoping!
<a title="View user profile." href="/author/editors">The Editors</a> Mon, 12/18/2023 - 10:41

You can always find the next 60 days of our weather predictions (which currently includes December 25) by inserting your zip code on the following page:

https://www.almanac.com/weather/longrange/zipcode

For Region 11, which includes Forney, Texas, we are predicting the following:

December 23-31: Rainy periods, some snow north; quite cold.

The northern part of Region 11, which extends into Oklahoma, is likely further north than Forney, though, so unfortunately we don't expect snow in your area for Christmas. But we wish you and yours a very happy holiday season--whatever the weather!

Thank you for your interest in The Old Farmer's Almanac!

 <span>Emily</span> Thu, 12/07/2023 - 11:48
Will it snow in New York? Queens? Fresh meadows? December 25? Anytime soon?
<a title="View user profile." href="/author/editors">The Editors</a> Mon, 12/18/2023 - 10:55

You can always find the next 60 days of our weather predictions (which currently includes December 25) by inserting your zip code on the following page:

https://www.almanac.com/weather/longrange/zipcode

For Region 2, which includes all of New York City, we are predicting the following:

Dec 24-27: Rainy, warm.
Dec 28-31: Snow and rain; cold, then warm.

According to this prediction, it likely will not be snowing at Christmas in your area. But it might be possible that New York City might have some snow (perhaps mixed with rain) later in the week.

Wishing you and yours a happy holiday season!

 <span>Dottie Adams</span> Thu, 12/07/2023 - 11:23
I love in the small rural community of Delphi Indiana 46923. Will we be able to see a White Christmas? I hope so. Even if it's just a covering. Thank you.